We've already agreed that none of this is realistic The discussion is purely about the technical theory that it is still entirely in our hands regardless of tomorrow's result.
If we go 5 points behind, can anyone see us pulling that back and the others not getting enough points to stay away from us?
Bolton win. We need to finish above 3 teams. Birmingham are the most likely of the teams above us to be the one below us. The best outcome is a Bolton win. If anything it would make them more complacent for the time we play them.
There are arguments for either way of looking at it but I agree. Personally I think our best chance is Bolton winning, Brum reverting to their terrible form and us scraping enough points to catch them. I wouldn't like us to be 5 points behind both Brum and Bolton, regardless of the permutations. The bookies have us at evens for relegation and I think that's a little on the generous side. There's still a lot to play for though.
Yeah we'll know much better at 5 on Saturday. By which time Birmingham will have played Bolton and Burton, and hopefully we've nicked a win v blades.