Donny - Thursday

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board' started by orsenkaht, Sep 13, 2017.

  1. ors

    orsenkaht Well-Known Member

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    Wednesday:
    2.20 Demon's Rock Unplaced
    2.50 Nobleman's Nest Won 5/2
    3.50 Soldier Blue Unplaced
    4.20 Lahore Won 7/2
    4.50 Mirage Dancer Unplaced

    Wins 2 Runs 5 (40%) Stakes 50 Returns 80 P/L +30 (60%)

    Thursday:

    1.20 Hoofalong/Kenny The Captain
    1.50 Clubbable
    2.25 Nyaleti [Nap]
    3.00 Aljezeera/Melodic Motion

    The last three races are unfathomable, in my humble opinion.
     
    Sir_Rik and Connor like this.
  2. ors

    orsenkaht Well-Known Member

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    Barnsley (full width)
    Just to add that I make Nyaleti [2.25] a very strong bet. That does not mean that she is a certainty, and as I have said many times before, I am wrong more often than I am right. But this filly has by a fair margin the best form in this race and also the best performances judged on the clock (which can sometimes be different). Although 6th of 8 last time in France, that was a Group 1 race in which she faced colts as well as fillies. She was unsuited by the speed test which that race provided, and promises to be better over Thursday's one mile trip in a Group 2 race in which she is back against her own sex. If looking behind that performance, I feel that she is getting on for twice the price she should be, relative to her chance here. 100/30 with Fred, Victor and Paddy. 3/1 general elsewhere.
     
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