Points Prediction Table

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board' started by Watcher_Of_The_Skies, Feb 11, 2019.

  1. Wat

    Watcher_Of_The_Skies Well-Known Member

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    Just for fun......Stats taken from this web page and then calculated to show estimated points total. Below that there's two tables to show the Home and Away form tables with the teams Barnsley, Sunderland and Portsmouth have to play both home and away. Colours are rated best (Green) to worst (Red) per column.


    Updated: 30th March 2019 (After Coventry (H))

    A draw at home against Coventry has seen the expected points difference fall to Barnsley going up by goal difference. Currently Sunderland have 3 games in hand and are 6 points behind, although this is in effect 7 points (as of this post) given our +7 better goal difference. None of this accounts for Sunderland's intensive run-in and any effects of their loss to Portsmouth in the EFL Cup. Can Portsmouth capitalise on their cup win?

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    Last edited: Apr 1, 2019
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  2. RedStriker

    RedStriker Well-Known Member

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  3. Sta

    Stahlrost Well-Known Member

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    That's a great website, the figures are all quite close but it does show that our run-in is marginally easier than some of the others' around us. I might be up late tonight messing about on there...
     
  4. Wat

    Watcher_Of_The_Skies Well-Known Member

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    Yeah if you like a bet and can use excel (I dont like a bet but can use Excel!) it's an excellent place to use stats to your advantage I'd suspect.
     
  5. ATY

    ATYKE1 Well-Known Member

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    I`d love it to be that comfortable
     
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  6. ATY

    ATYKE1 Well-Known Member

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    Just done a points total for Sunderland (94) and Portsmouth (89) and think i`ve been generous with both.
    I find it harder to be objective with us as my instinct is to say we`ll win them all!
    Realistically can we get more than 94 points?
    Hope so!
     
  7. Tyk

    Tyke_67 Well-Known Member

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    I've had a go at our results and pessimistically got us finishing on 92 points, so can Portsmouth get 33 points / Sunderland get 34 to overtake us? My heart says no, but it will all depend on the results against them both. If someone offered us two draws (which was my predicted result) I'd take it. By the way I had tonight down as a draw ...
     
  8. Wat

    Watcher_Of_The_Skies Well-Known Member

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    Updated after the Portsmouth game.
     
  9. Red

    Redhelen Well-Known Member

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    Those 4 games for Sunderland in theory should help us but if they're on a roll could seal our fate. Doesn't sound likely that Moore will.play against them either . Oh well, nothing ever goes as predicted.
     
  10. Jimmy viz

    Jimmy viz Well-Known Member

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    If we beat Sunderland we will go up imo
     
  11. Tyk

    Tyke_67 Well-Known Member

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    Also, if Sunderland best Bristol Rovers in cup, thdy will have another game to resrrange - think it will be their Burton home game on 30 March. So if tbey don't play it before that date we will have played 2 games more at that stage
     
  12. tho

    thomasevans Well-Known Member

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    Sunderland seem to have a fairly easy March, apart from the game with us. If we can stay ahead of them into April, we then have by far the simpler run in. COYR
     
  13. Tyk

    Tyke_67 Well-Known Member

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    Furthermore, didn't we play our JPT final at Wembley on a Sunday? Sunderland then play Accy away on the following Tuesday
     
  14. Winker

    Winker Well-Known Member

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    Can you predict who's gunna win playoffs and ill av a BET, cheers Watcher of the skies, love ya prediction table. Not reight gud at working stuff like this art but had a go, and looking at games to play i give us 88 max i hope i'm wrong
     
    Last edited: Feb 25, 2019
  15. Donny Red

    Donny Red Well-Known Member

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  16. Wat

    Watcher_Of_The_Skies Well-Known Member

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    Updated after the Walsall game.
     
  17. Wat

    WatfordRed Well-Known Member

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    Does that future Opp PPG suggest we have the hardest run in? Or am i reading it wrong?
     
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  18. Bru

    BrunNer Well-Known Member

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    It’s the easiest run in.
     
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  19. Wat

    WatfordRed Well-Known Member

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    Thats what I thought. However, that table seems to suggest that our future opponents PPG is higher than Luton, Sunderland or Portsmouths?
     
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  20. Wat

    Watcher_Of_The_Skies Well-Known Member

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    Hi, apologies - so I didnt have to manually update some of the fields and it did it automatically when I copy and pasted text I jiggled some of the columns around and as a result the two columns got mixed up - Ive swapped them back over. It's only marginal but we have the easiest run in as PPG goes.
     
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  21. Farnham_Red

    Farnham_Red Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    Some fairly poor odds in the YP article - Donny at 5-2 for one of the 2 automatic spots they have to be having a laugh
    Even if the odds are for promotion including via the playoffs they would be very stingy but there is more chance of me bedding Kylie this week than there is of Donny finishing in the top 2
     

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