I appreciate that this is a long document, but it's well worth a read and I wouldn't be able to do it justice trying to sum it up. These graphs tell 1,000 words though. (again, please read the document for the full context. I'm not trying to sensationalise here) Yes, That red line there at the bottom is the surge critical care capacity of the NHS. This is the true version of that graph you keep seeing where the NHS capacity is about half way up the curve and then scales nicely to meet the ‘squashed sombrero’.
And on the other side of it, here’s an article that references the paper. Warning: This is somewhat sensationalised. https://www.buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/coronavirus-uk-strategy-deaths
Some more write-ups Choose based on whatever paper you may actually listen to. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/ar...-18-months-Imperial-College-London-warns.html https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/coronavirus-measures-could-last-more-21703799.amp https://amp.theguardian.com/world/2...licy-why-uks-coronavirus-strategy-has-changed
Are you going to provide links to the further graphs the IC will publish over the next few days that provide differing scenarios and outcomes or you sticking to the ones that support your incessant bedwetting...
I’ll absolutely post any predictions I see, assuming they are from a reputable source. I admit I don’t hold out much hope, however, that future projections will paint a prettier picture.
It seems that the previous scientific advice that everyone on here was gushing over the fact that we were following was based off viral pneumonia - which, it turns out, has a significantly lower critical care rate. We are now using data on COVID-19 from this and other countries to make our predictions (the graphs linked in the OP) https://amp.ft.com/content/249daf9a-67c3-11ea-800d-da70cff6e4d3?__twitter_impression=true