For all those saying China have got it under control

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board' started by SuperTyke, Mar 21, 2020.

  1. SuperTyke

    SuperTyke Well-Known Member

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    They haven't. Just as I said they had merely gone into a cycle.

    Virus starts with one
    Spreads at an increasing rate.
    Lockdown
    Cases drops to almost none
    Lockdown ends
    Virus slowly starts to spread again
    Spreads at an increasing rate
    Lockdown
    Cases drops to almost none
    Lockdown ends
    Virus slowly starts to spread again
    Spreads at an increasing rate
    Lockdown
    Cases drops to almost none
    Lockdown ends
    Virus slowly starts to spread again
    Spreads at an increasing rate
    Lockdown

    And so on and so forth.

    A week ago they had it down to just at new cases per day, since then the figure has increased 34 on Thursday, 39 yesterday 41 today.
    The pattern shows that as soon as you allow people to mix again it spreads again because there being locked in your house for a few weeks doesn't magically make you immune. Quite why anyone thought it did was crazy.
     
  2. churtonred

    churtonred Well-Known Member

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    I
    The only solution is to keep the spread of the contagion as low as possible until a vaccine is found.
     
  3. SuperTyke

    SuperTyke Well-Known Member

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    They predict that will take 18 months. I honestly don't think it's practical to lockdown countries for 18 months. It would destroy the economy completely and send us back to the dark ages.

    I'd say it's far more important to protect and the isolate the vulnerable as much as possible until a vaccine is found and that's a totally different thing.
     
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  4. churtonred

    churtonred Well-Known Member

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    There are no "good" solutions. Only less bad ones.
    You're right. The world economy needs protecting as much as possible while limiting social interaction as much as we can.
    If this drags on for 18 months it's going to ask some fundamental questions about wealth sharing, a more caring society, massively increased state control of individual and corporate wealth etc.
     
  5. Tyk

    Tyketical Masterstroke Well-Known Member

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    You don’t get it. There won’t be any corporate wealth.

    ‘Tax the corporations more’
    ‘Errr - there aren’t any corporations’
    ‘Oh ****’.
     
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  6. churtonred

    churtonred Well-Known Member

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    Of course i get it. See my reply to Supertyke. There are no good solutions. My pension is crashing in value. My partner is laid off, my part time job has been wiped out. Do i want her interacting with tourists all day? My stepdaughter in school all day as an asthmatic. No i don't.
    Do me a favour though. Don't reply to this.
     
  7. Tyk

    Tyketical Masterstroke Well-Known Member

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    Why the stroppy answer, are we not allowed to put the opposite point of view?
     
  8. churtonred

    churtonred Well-Known Member

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    Have i deleted your posts from the board?
     
  9. Tyk

    Tyketical Masterstroke Well-Known Member

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    I honestly think people are going to need to re-evaluate their attitude to risk around this virus. The risks to all but the most ill of children are vanishingly tiny. The risks to healthy adults under 40 - especially women - appear next to vanishingly small as well. Measures need to be targeted - and enforced if necessary - on the vulnerable population. Plans in place to support them. In the meantime if you’re someone who’s unlikely to be hospitalised, then I’m afraid people are going to have to face some degree of risk just like they do and did in every other aspect of their everyday life before this came along.
     
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  10. SuperTyke

    SuperTyke Well-Known Member

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    Something else that hasn't been considered is with social contact removed and access to the leisure industry removed how much will suicide rates increase by?
     
  11. Dep

    Deputy Dawg Well-Known Member

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    Coronavirus 1 or classic as scientists refer to it SARS happened 17 years ago
    Still no vaccine
    Coronavirus Mers
    5 years ago still no vaccine

    Just for comparison around 10,000 people have died from Covid -19
    In the exact same time frame so called flu season
    36 million cases 440,000 hospitalised over 22,000 dead from just influenza in the USA
    up to 600,000 die each year from flu worldwide .... and there’s a vaccine of sorts.

    The vast majority of people who have died unfortunately would have died anyway whether from this virus or suchlike other virus’s or infections because of there secondary problems.

    If you want to lock yourself in the broom cubboard till it’s over or they have found a vaccine which sometimes works or doesn’t at all
    Or maybe run round in circles saying everybody’s going to die
    run down the centre of your local supermarket in your dressing gown and slippers abusing staff and knocking old people out of the way to get to The Andrex and pasta
    Off you go I will leave you to it.

    There is no evidence that we can stop or isolate it
    There is no cure or treatment hence government advice telling you no point going to the doctors or hospital.
    There are too many horrible illnesses and diseases to count or worry about constantly.
    That your going to catch , get or die from.

    You may catch this virus and have a incredibly low chance of dieing ,you may not
    You may not catch it all all
    Just like any and all of the other illnesses and diseases
    Be at ease with that and let’s all get on with our lives
     
  12. Jay

    Jay Well-Known Member

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    Can't like that enough
     
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  13. hav

    havana red1 Well-Known Member

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    How trustworthy are the official stat's coming out of China though?
     
  14. SuperTyke

    SuperTyke Well-Known Member

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    I've no idea but I see no reason why they'd lie and say it's spreading and increasing again if it isnt
     
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  15. Old

    Old Gimmer Well-Known Member

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    According to the reports I’m seeing, the new cases in China are due to people returning from other countries. In other words, shut your borders down and you can contain it domestically, but as soon as you relax restrictions it fires up again. Never thought I’d say this, but I sure miss Brexit!!
     
  16. Gegenpresser

    Gegenpresser Well-Known Member

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    If Barnsley aren't playing and losing then I suspect suicide rates might fall.

    I've often felt like slitting my wrists at 5pm on a Saturday, but not recently.
     
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  17. BarnsleyReds

    BarnsleyReds Well-Known Member

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    I don’t believe anybody thought that.

    The experts are saying these measures will have to last for about 12 months, with them being ‘on’ about half of the time. Allow the virus to spread slowly, close everything down, treat infected, rinse and repeat.

    Keeps the NHS under capacity
     
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  18. SuperTyke

    SuperTyke Well-Known Member

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    Well the prime minister said 12 weeks not 12 months.
     
  19. BarnsleyReds

    BarnsleyReds Well-Known Member

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    The prime minister is an idiot.
     
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  20. SuperTyke

    SuperTyke Well-Known Member

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    Well we all know that but I think a lot, and I mean a lot, of people believe what he says. When he says that I think millions believe what he says and therefore believes that they can lock themselves away for a few weeks and everything will be ok. In reality it won't which is why I don't think this isolation system is practical in the long run.

    I honestly don't understand why we aren't focusing on protecting the elderly and vulnerable
     

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