The R is 0.8...

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board' started by pontyender, May 14, 2020.

  1. SuperTyke

    SuperTyke Well-Known Member

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    It's an average. It means that due to the contagiousness of the virus combined with the amount of infectable people an infected person will come into the average amount of people that will be infected by that person is for example 0.7. it's just like saying the life expectancy is 84 for example that doesn't mean that you're going to drop dead on your 84th birthday some with longer some less but the average would be 84.
     
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  2. Red

    Red-Taff. Well-Known Member

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    I understand about life expectancy but don't understand the 'R.'
    spot on PR - a Masters in Slavic Language and Culture doesn't help with science/statistics!
     
  3. pompey_red

    pompey_red Well-Known Member

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    Haha, bet that comes in handy in tarn!
     
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  4. SuperTyke

    SuperTyke Well-Known Member

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    What don't you understand about it?
     
  5. dreamboy3000

    dreamboy3000 Well-Known Member

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  6. pon

    pontyender Well-Known Member

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  7. Red

    Red-Taff. Well-Known Member

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    I understand nothing about this 'R'
    If say one infected guy gets on the tube and infects many other travellers how do you arrive at 'R' if you don't know exactly how many have been infected.
     
  8. dreamboy3000

    dreamboy3000 Well-Known Member

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    If the R is 3 one person can infect three others. But maybe that one person infects nobody or maybe they infect 50 people.
     
  9. Jimmy viz

    Jimmy viz Well-Known Member

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    it’s just an average. If it’s above1 you are ******. If it gets nearer to 2 your health service collapses within months and you are really ******.. if it’s below 1 you are ok. It’s never gonna be 0.
     
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  10. AthersleyRed

    AthersleyRed Well-Known Member

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    The R is 0.8.. sounds like a Soccer Guy match report. "The L goes to the soccer chickens whose English League game points is rated R."
     
  11. blivy

    blivy Well-Known Member

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    On average it’s about 3 weeks between infection and death. Hospital admission is generally earlier than 3 weeks.
     
  12. kestyke

    kestyke Well-Known Member

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    I thought the rising R was reported as the rising infections identified in care homes, not generally?
     
  13. blivy

    blivy Well-Known Member

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    It’s the R and prevalence that matter. R has been above 1 in Germany for several days but prevalence is low so lockdown restrictions haven’t changed.

    A single super spreader in South Korea led to about 150 infections. That’s a huge R, but because prevalence is low nothing has changed.
     
  14. blivy

    blivy Well-Known Member

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    The R in hospitals and care homes is pulling up the national average. It’s thought the R in the community is much lower, which is where the release in restrictions is happening.
     
  15. blivy

    blivy Well-Known Member

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    What makes you think you know better than the scientists? A high number of interactions doesn’t necessarily lead to a higher R. Particularly if those individuals have already had COVID-19.
     
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  16. Don

    Donny-Red Well-Known Member

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    By looking at the total number of infections going down (or up).
     
  17. dreamboy3000

    dreamboy3000 Well-Known Member

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    That's why the government should give us three different R rates. The current one, one for just the community and one for just care homes. People will see the R rate rising and worry about it when it's because of people you won't come into contact with because they live locked away in a home. The rate rising in other countries hasn't resulted in a second spike or a rise in deaths likely because more people now are getting a milder case of Covid with it weakening from being around for so long.
     
  18. Red

    Red-Taff. Well-Known Member

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    sorry, but just can't get my head round this R rate.

    Guardian article questions not only the accuracy but also the relevance of the 'R' re Covid 19.
     
  19. Sta

    Stahlrost Well-Known Member

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    Do you know any couples with 2.4 children?
     
  20. thetykester

    thetykester Well-Known Member

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    Didn't pirates suffer from this R thingy.
     
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