The R is 0.8...

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board' started by pontyender, May 14, 2020.

  1. Red

    Redsnut Well-Known Member

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    I take it you don,t watch the press conferences then they tell you every day how many new cases there are.
    Yesterday they tested 136,000 and 3,400 new cases.
     
  2. Red

    Red-Taff. Well-Known Member

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    bully!
     
  3. JamDrop

    JamDrop Well-Known Member

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    You’d already replied to me.
     
  4. Red

    Red-Taff. Well-Known Member

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    Interesting article I todays Times - describes the whole 'R' equation as an 'Artificial Construct'

    -it's just something that the Government have come up with to try to convince us they have a handle on this whole Covid 19
    (they haven't!)
    and what has happened with the App being trialled on the isle of Wight?
     
  5. Wat

    Watcher_Of_The_Skies Well-Known Member

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    The R in Gateshead is thought to be 1.1
     
  6. dreamboy3000

    dreamboy3000 Well-Known Member

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    Another step closer to social distancing ending.
     
  7. Red

    Redsnut Well-Known Member

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    Back up to 500 tomorrow then
     
  8. dreamboy3000

    dreamboy3000 Well-Known Member

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    210 last Monday so will be nowhere near 500.



    The situation is much better than the scaremongering press would have us believe.
     
  9. Dav

    DavidCurriesMullet Well-Known Member

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    The notification system went down on Saturday. The figure of 90 isn't a true reflection, true figure around 200-250 hopefully.
     
  10. Farnham_Red

    Farnham_Red Administrator
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    Of course its an artificial construct - its a model to describe how a disease is spreading
    Its not something invented by the government though - its an internationally recognised measure and has been used for ages.
    Its influenced by both how contagious a disease is, and what steps are taken to restrict it. Also as long as recovery (or death) from an infection means you cant get it again for a while even if you do nothing R declines naturally over time.

    The problem with the current UK measuring system though is we can know what R really is as we dont know how many people have been infected - an effective test track and trace also gives you an accurate R
     
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  11. dreamboy3000

    dreamboy3000 Well-Known Member

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  12. thetykester

    thetykester Well-Known Member

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    I honestly thought this was a thread about our local accent is it or 8 t say r. R meaning yes.
     
  13. Farnham_Red

    Farnham_Red Administrator
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    Its clearly dropping but you know basing on just one day doesnt really make sense. lets see if it stays that way for a few more days
    That said its very encouraging news and also quite surprising as it means somewhere the science models are wrong unless the virus has mutated, or many more people have had it and not shown symptoms than were expected and we have indeed reached herd immunity much faster than expected
    Or the Daily Heil isnt accurately reporting - unlikely I know :)
     
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  14. dreamboy3000

    dreamboy3000 Well-Known Member

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  15. Stephen Dawson

    Stephen Dawson Well-Known Member

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  16. Don

    Donny-Red Well-Known Member

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    Because the R counts infections not deaths?
     
  17. dreamboy3000

    dreamboy3000 Well-Known Member

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    Well the rate of infection continues to drop even if the government still seem to be plucking testing figures from nowhere for people tested to be so low from such a vast amount.

     
  18. pon

    pontyender Well-Known Member

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    Some of them delivering food. We've just seen a meals on wheels sort of guy take some food to the old lady next door. He was all nicely PPE'd when he got out of the van, then he blew his nose into a tissue and continued to do the delivery with the same gloved hands.
     
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  19. Don

    Donny-Red Well-Known Member

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    Because the R counts infections not deaths?
    i simply answered your question :)
     
  20. JamDrop

    JamDrop Well-Known Member

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    They've got to try and meet the new target Johnson announced of 200,000 by the end of the month and are probably building it up so that people don't get suspicious when it coincidentally happens on the last day of the month again.
     

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