But what about the Bank Holiday second spike????

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board' started by Tyketical Masterstroke, Jun 5, 2020.

Page 1 of 10
  1. Tyk

    Tyketical Masterstroke Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 9, 2011
    Messages:
    9,825
    Likes Received:
    13,257
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Dry buumer
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    #1 Tyketical Masterstroke, Jun 5, 2020
  2. LiverpoolRed

    LiverpoolRed Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 25, 2005
    Messages:
    14,733
    Likes Received:
    6,894
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom, 105653082800
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    #2 LiverpoolRed, Jun 5, 2020
    R rate increased in North West back above 1
     
  3. pon

    pontyender Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 18, 2005
    Messages:
    10,771
    Likes Received:
    3,865
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Barnsley
    Home Page:
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    #3 pontyender, Jun 5, 2020
    And the South West.
     
  4. LiverpoolRed

    LiverpoolRed Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 25, 2005
    Messages:
    14,733
    Likes Received:
    6,894
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom, 105653082800
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    #4 LiverpoolRed, Jun 5, 2020
    Thanks - couldn't remember off top my head if it was South East or West
     
  5. Sco

    Scoff Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 18, 2011
    Messages:
    9,221
    Likes Received:
    7,963
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    The interface between business and technology
    Location:
    Brampton by the Sea
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    #5 Scoff, Jun 5, 2020
    And doubled in London
     
    LiverpoolRed likes this.
  6. Sco

    Scoff Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 18, 2011
    Messages:
    9,221
    Likes Received:
    7,963
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    The interface between business and technology
    Location:
    Brampton by the Sea
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    #6 Scoff, Jun 5, 2020
    Oh, and the figures are probably around 13000 higher than the 40000 who have officially died from COVID.*



    *To 1st May.
     
  7. Sco

    Scoff Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 18, 2011
    Messages:
    9,221
    Likes Received:
    7,963
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    The interface between business and technology
    Location:
    Brampton by the Sea
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    #7 Scoff, Jun 5, 2020
    And the Brexit Party Chairman and another Tory MP (and a few right-wing journalists too) been breaking the rules

     
    Redhelen likes this.
  8. Bak

    Baka Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 16, 2014
    Messages:
    5,622
    Likes Received:
    5,618
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    #8 Baka, Jun 5, 2020
    The Brexit Party are used to breaking the rules, to be fair to them.
     
    TitusMagee and Redhelen like this.
  9. Jimmy viz

    Jimmy viz Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 30, 2012
    Messages:
    29,682
    Likes Received:
    19,155
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Ballet Dancer
    Location:
    Hiding under the bed
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    #9 Jimmy viz, Jun 5, 2020
    Most deaths reported on. Friday since bank holiday. R number creeping back above 1. Death total as per FT analysis creeping towards 70k. Not sure there is much good news.
     
    Redhelen likes this.
  10. troff

    troff Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 29, 2009
    Messages:
    10,688
    Likes Received:
    14,923
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    donny
    Home Page:
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    #10 troff, Jun 5, 2020
    Farnham_Red likes this.
  11. pon

    pontyender Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 18, 2005
    Messages:
    10,771
    Likes Received:
    3,865
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Barnsley
    Home Page:
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    #11 pontyender, Jun 5, 2020
    **** the second spike, the first one hasn't finished yet. 357 more deaths registered in the last 24 hours. I think your brain is in lockdown.
     
    Dodgy Back Tyke, Terry Nutkins, Tobys Knackers and 3 others like this.
  12. SuperTyke

    SuperTyke Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 12, 2005
    Messages:
    55,303
    Likes Received:
    29,370
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    #12 SuperTyke, Jun 5, 2020
    If daily new infections are down what is the r number based on?
    Its impossible to know WHO passed on the virus to each person so it can't be calculated via that. Surely it must only be calculated via the number of new infections which a mathematical formula is used to compare to the previous day's infections and create a reproduction number.
     
  13. Mr Badger

    Mr Badger Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 9, 2011
    Messages:
    10,010
    Likes Received:
    8,509
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Location:
    Fillingham
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    #13 Mr Badger, Jun 5, 2020
    and Barnsley attendances are always over 11,000 despite empty ground.
     
    Redhelen likes this.
  14. SuperTyke

    SuperTyke Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 12, 2005
    Messages:
    55,303
    Likes Received:
    29,370
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    #14 SuperTyke, Jun 5, 2020
    Deaths are treated to new infections though. We could have had zero new infections in the last 3 weeks and still be seeing hundreds a day die.would that justify a lockdown?
     
  15. Sco

    Scoff Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 18, 2011
    Messages:
    9,221
    Likes Received:
    7,963
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    The interface between business and technology
    Location:
    Brampton by the Sea
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    #15 Scoff, Jun 5, 2020
    We are not testing enough people and getting the results back quickly enough. China tested the entire population of Wuhan in 19 days (and found no significant cases) - that is 11million people in 19 days or nearly 3 times the number of *tests* the UK are claiming to perform.
     
    Redhelen and SuperTyke like this.
  16. SuperTyke

    SuperTyke Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 12, 2005
    Messages:
    55,303
    Likes Received:
    29,370
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    #16 SuperTyke, Jun 5, 2020
    Which begs the question even more of what is the r number actually based on? Or more to the point how wildly inaccurate is it?
     
    Redstone likes this.
  17. Sco

    Scoff Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 18, 2011
    Messages:
    9,221
    Likes Received:
    7,963
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    The interface between business and technology
    Location:
    Brampton by the Sea
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    #17 Scoff, Jun 5, 2020
    This is my *guess*.

    It uses sampling techniques to estimate - same as political polling - so if you test 100000 people and 2000 are positive, you can scale it up to 66m and 132000 positive, but with some funky maths to make it more accurate. But it is still a model.
     
    SuperTyke likes this.
  18. Redstone

    Redstone Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 10, 2005
    Messages:
    16,072
    Likes Received:
    11,516
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Style:
    Barnsley Dark
    #18 Redstone, Jun 5, 2020
    The R number is purely a estimate as far as I know. It would also stand to reason that if fewer people are actually testing positive the R number would fluctuate more on a smaller sample size.
     
    Austiniho and SuperTyke like this.
  19. Tyk

    Tyketical Masterstroke Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 9, 2011
    Messages:
    9,825
    Likes Received:
    13,257
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Dry buumer
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    #19 Tyketical Masterstroke, Jun 5, 2020
    Except for last Friday. Oh, and err, the Friday two before that. But apart from that - good stats.
     
  20. Redstone

    Redstone Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 10, 2005
    Messages:
    16,072
    Likes Received:
    11,516
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Style:
    Barnsley Dark
    #20 Redstone, Jun 5, 2020
    I worry that we will limp through the summer with restrictions then the we may have a increase in cases through the winter months and lockdown again. Disaster.
     
    SuperTyke and Tyketical Masterstroke like this.
(You must log in or sign up to post here.)
Page 1 of 10

Share This Page