US Election

This time 4 years ago Hillary was at 61% chance of victory, actually. At the time of the election she was 72%.

 

I will bow to your superior knowledge on that then because I didn’t really have much interest in the 2016 election. I was basing it on something like this that I saw recently.

Irrespective of the actual percentages, it doesn’t change the fact that Clinton was clear favourite according to the polls and still lost.

 

Currently watching CNN with their nightly Trump bashing Biden bias. The channel is worse for being impartial than any media we have over here. More you don't call the news fairly, the more you're tempting voters to rebel against it. We have seen it here enough times now and it happened there four years ago.

 

How the can you cover Trump without looking biased against him , the bloke is a fking moron!!

 

I also think the criminal investigation into Hunter Biden’s business dealings and the kickbacks that Joe Biden received for leveraging his position could have a bearing on the voting over the next week.

 

Anyone with an ounce of decency who backs Trump to win the election in America must be out of touch with humanity.

 

Pretty unlikely to have a massive difference at this point, given that 10s of millions have already voted. People see through Trump's obvious BS now, that didn't in 2016. None of this Hunter stuff has been sticking at all.

 

The full prediction from 2016 is here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus

She was actually 64% at this point (5 days before election) not 61, my apologies on that. You can see from the graph on there though that it was very backwards and forwards over the election cycle.

Contrast to the 2020 prediction here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

The image you've posted I can't comment on because I don't know the source.

 

I think the big thing this year is that very few are undecided - probably not even enough to make a difference. Nothing that could 'come out' now will make a difference. the debates made no difference.

People already picked Trump or No Trump. I can't see many that Voted against him in 2016 now being all on the crazy train. It's a bit hard to campaign on "Make America Great Again" and anti-establishment when you're already in charge.

 

It’s just a Google search for ‘Hunter Biden FBI’.

The media are largely choosing not to report about it but the DOJ have verified the legitimacy of the Bobulinski documents and the FBI are investigating Biden’s son’s dealings which include receiving a $5million non-repayable loan from the Chinese Communist Party owned energy company CEFC.

I’m not American so I won’t be voting... but if I was I would be swayed against voting for someone who looks like he could be in the pocket of China.

 

I meant the image of the ridiculous 'prediction' from 2016.

The FBI stuff is such nonsense it's hardly even worth mentioning. it was China first, that didn't stick, so they tried "The wife of the mayor of Moscow". That didn't stick either so they're back to China I guess.

Yet if you mention Russia interference into the 2016 election, or that Trump's kids (who are ACTUALLY PART OF HIS ADMINISTRATION) have dealings with China, that's fake news.

It's ********. It's not making a difference. People just want Trump out at this point. They were voting for whoever is not Trump all along.

 

Those stories about the Hunter Biden’s corruption FBI investigation are only an hour old so I think it’s probably a bit premature to be dismissing them as ‘********’. You could be right though and, if you are, I’ll be £200 worse off come next Wednesday.

 

It’s unlikely to be known on Wednesday. Many states will be counting mail-in votes for up to a week after Election Day. Unless it’s an absolute Biden landslide it won’t be known on Wednesday.

And the reason it can be dismissed as ******** is precisely because it’s only an hour old. The Trump campaign have been throwing all sorts and trying to see what sticks. This is just their latest attempt.

 

And yet they've managed it. Johnson won on an anti-establishment ticket last year in the UK, despite having been foreign secretary in a tory government who'd been in charge for a decade. Ten actual years.

Who the hell knows what's going on.

 

Evidence showing that the majority of these Hunter Biden stories are from someone that doesn’t exist and are a fabrication by the trump campaign.

 

or them Russians

 

Could well be. After Trump’s refusal to hold the Russians to account over things like the bounties on the heads of US soldiers, they will do anything possible to try and make sure he gets back in.

 

See Trump's propaganda agent Tucker Carlson supposedly had the emails but they got lost in the post apparently.

 

That whole saga has been absolutely ridiculous. They are now running with the story that they have been found (it was a flash drive apparently and you’d definitely post one of those and also not back it up). Strangely though, despite the fact that people are voting every minute, instead of revealing the contents that they reckon could affect the election results they are going with the conspiracy angle of ‘how did it get lost?’ today.

 

on the contrary the way he says China still makes me laugh every time