US Election

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board' started by dreamboy3000, Oct 26, 2020.

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  1. Gravy Chips

    Gravy Chips Well-Known Member

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    Trump doing well so far. The mind boggles.
     
    Gravy Chips, Nov 4, 2020
    #281
  2. Ses

    Sestren Well-Known Member

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    I jokingly put £50 on him serving three terms during the first debate back in 2016. Can't believe I'm feeling more confident about it now than I did then!

    Editing to make it clear that this was a very informal drunken bet with a friend - I dread to think what odds I'd have actually got!
     
    Last edited: Nov 4, 2020
    Sestren, Nov 4, 2020
    #282
  3. Gravy Chips

    Gravy Chips Well-Known Member

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    Are they offering cash out? Jw how much it would be
     
    Gravy Chips, Nov 4, 2020
    #283
  4. Loko the Tyke

    Loko the Tyke Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    I can’t work out who’s doing well and who isn’t. There’s good news for both candidates if you want to find it so who knows what the reality is.

    North Carolina looking likely as a blue win.
     
    Loko the Tyke, Nov 4, 2020
    #284
  5. Ses

    Sestren Well-Known Member

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    Haha, just edited. I think I could cash out if I bought her a takeaway.
     
    Last edited: Nov 4, 2020
    Sestren, Nov 4, 2020
    #285
    Gravy Chips likes this.
  6. Loko the Tyke

    Loko the Tyke Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    Trump has just been installed as favourite with Paddy Power.

    Bookmakers in the US have also just moved him to a -135 favourite
     
    Loko the Tyke, Nov 4, 2020
    #286
  7. casual tyke

    casual tyke Active Member

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    I’m feeling even more confident of a Trump win now
     
    casual tyke, Nov 4, 2020
    #287
  8. Loko the Tyke

    Loko the Tyke Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    Definitely signs for you to be thinking it’s £750 gained and not £250 lost.

    The North Carolina gap gets closer and closer for every 3% of the vote they count
     
    Loko the Tyke, Nov 4, 2020
    #288
  9. Ses

    Sestren Well-Known Member

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    I wonder how quickly Trump will declare victory. Terrifyingly, that feels like the most important thing to look for.
     
    Sestren, Nov 4, 2020
    #289
  10. Loko the Tyke

    Loko the Tyke Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    They were talking about something to do with PA and it taking three days to count all the votes. As that might be crucial it could realistically be not called today and be up in the air
     
    Loko the Tyke, Nov 4, 2020
    #290
  11. BarnsleyReds

    BarnsleyReds Well-Known Member

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    Not sure how. PA looking strong for Biden at early signs, NC, OH and AZ all looking close.
     
    BarnsleyReds, Nov 4, 2020
    #291
  12. BarnsleyReds

    BarnsleyReds Well-Known Member

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    Yeah PA are allowed to count votes mailed that are received for 3 days after the election if they were sent before today.

    The issue is that Trump has already threatened to go in with the lawyers if it’s not called tonight.
     
    BarnsleyReds, Nov 4, 2020
    #292
  13. Loko the Tyke

    Loko the Tyke Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    PA is at 57% with 14% of the vote in. I’m not sure if that’s enough of a lead when we all know blue takes an early lead and then gets clawed back. NC is losing blue ground all the time and is only a 50.2% share right now. I can see why odds have changed and in fact they just announced the bookmakers have gone from 69/31 Biden at the start of the night to 60/40 Trump.

    Genuine feeling out there that the Democrats didn’t hit the ground enough and do the traditional side of politics. That said,
     
    Loko the Tyke, Nov 4, 2020
    #293
  14. casual tyke

    casual tyke Active Member

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    Are you standing by your prediction of 10% chance of success for Trump?
     
    casual tyke, Nov 4, 2020
    #294
  15. BarnsleyReds

    BarnsleyReds Well-Known Member

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    Some key areas in PA that were 50/50 in 2016 are running 80/20 Biden. I’m not counting chickens but I’m not worried just yet.
     
    BarnsleyReds, Nov 4, 2020
    #295
  16. BarnsleyReds

    BarnsleyReds Well-Known Member

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    I still think Biden will win yes. It’s closer than I’d like, but well within polling margin of error so far.
     
    BarnsleyReds, Nov 4, 2020
    #296
  17. Loko the Tyke

    Loko the Tyke Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    Trump has taken the lead in Ohio. Not saying that means he wins PA but the trend of Red clawing it back is out there
     
    Loko the Tyke, Nov 4, 2020
    #297
  18. Skryptic

    Skryptic Well-Known Member

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    Trump is going to win. Don't think Biden is going to make enough gains. Another crushing defeat for the twittersphere.
     
    Skryptic, Nov 4, 2020
    #298
  19. casual tyke

    casual tyke Active Member

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    73% chance of a Trump win on smarkets.com now
     
    casual tyke, Nov 4, 2020
    #299
  20. Loko the Tyke

    Loko the Tyke Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    There’s people in the Twittersphere complaining now about the CNN coverage and their lack of acknowledgement for blue always leading early.

    It’s like those who speak, repeat, share and dominate social media feeds don’t actually speak for the majority but influence so many
     
    Last edited: Nov 4, 2020
    Loko the Tyke, Nov 4, 2020
    #300
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