US Election

So you say there’s ‘surprises’, we tell you there’s not, and that we’re aware of the ongoing shenanigans and that it’s going nowhere.

But you’re the most qualified person here, so you can’t believe that your ‘secret’ is just Bol lox.

So you still believe you’re getting the last laugh.

I have to say, it keeps amusing us.

 

Look at this recap of McCain's concession speech. Listen to the crowd at the beginning. That's the rabid racists of Trump's base. He validated them and caused them to grow. McCain educated them.

 

He claims to be the most qualified person. He’s yet to offer us any proof. He’s consistent, to say the least.

 

The State Legislatures have the authority to de-certify the results right up to the last minute. Under the Constitution, Mike Pence would be legally required to reject the de-certified votes. When it happens and the Dems cry foul and it gets referred to SCOTUS they will have to rule in line with the Constitution and Trump's victory will stand. Alternatively, Biden could still throw the towel in,

Tell me I'm wrong again if you like.... but like I've said before the proof of the pudding is in the eating and dessert is being served this evening so we will soon find out either way.

You know it's coming.... Four more years.

 

Is this the US equivalent of the Freeman of the land?

 

It's gonna be hilarious later today or tomorrow when you finally run out of 'smoking guns' and have to accept reality. Although I suspect you'll cling on to the false reality you are living in.

For someone with the top 0.1% of qualifications, you really need to work on your critical thinking ability.

 

It would have to be before the result was regarded as 'final' Helen. But basically you 'back' the outcome, then when the result looks closer you take a bet from someone on the same outcome as you backed but at a shorter price. You pocket the difference. Usually you are playing with fractions, but you lock in a profit whatever the outcome.

 

Isn't cashing out generally a bad bargain? The bookies are essentially offering you a further set of odds on your bet winning, which will be worse than what they consider the true odds to be at that point.

Of course for big one off bets it might be worth sacrificing some expected value to avoid the variance, but over an extended number of bets I'd expect that you'd end up with less in total of you cashed out rather than let them all ride.

 

In other news.....

There is evidence surfacing in Italy that Obama coordinated the Election steal from the US Embassy in Rome in conjunction with numerous CIA agents and employees of the Italian defence contractor Leonardo. I'm hearing that former Italian President, Matteo Renzi, is also being implicated.

I haven't personally verified any of that so it could be ********, but if its not I suspect you will hear about it through official channels soon. It looks like it could be a date with a firing squad for old Barack.

That's what I would call a 'twist' Micky.

 

All depends on your strike rate! I'd look at what I was being offered in cashback and the potential return if the bet rides. From there you can calculate the odds and see whether that's a bet you want to keep/let run. Value!

 

I’m hearing Elvis works in our chip shop; it could be bol lox, in which case I’m just passing it on, but if it’s not bo llox I was right all along.

And I got my doctorate from Trump University so I’m officially BIGLY smart.

 

Sometimes a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush Mansfield.

At 2.30am before the counting in 6 key states suddenly and suspiciously stopped Trump was 85% likely to win on Smarkets and I decided that I would rather take the certainty of the quick cash rather than let it ride for the bit extra.

As it goes, I have had other bets subsequently and should hopefully be able to claim on those if I'm right and Trump gets back in.

 

Funnily enough.... I'm hearing that Elvis is still alive and will be re-entering the building soon.

 

This is exactly how I run with mine,

 

Here he is..... Not looking too bad for his age really.

 

As likely as anything else you’ve posted today.

And just to be clear, we’re talking about the likelihood of a morbidly obese coke addict living to just before his 85th birthday.

 

He died before I was born Donny so I don't know how old he would be today or what kind of coke habit he had but I will happily take your word for it.

Wait until you find out who his son and cousin are by the way! I'll give you a gold star if you can guess either.

 

I just want to point out, it was never 'likely' that Trump would win with anyone except the bookies, which is just based off people with a trigger finger.

Everyone that followed the voting patterns and counting patterns knew it was a toss-up, leading Biden at that point. This is why the 'fraud' claims are so hilarious and obviously fake. It was always going to happen the way it did, because the Republicans forced it to happen that way.

They planned the 'fraud' claims from the beginning and geared it so they had 'evidence'.