I don't think we missed him, we had two hard games against Sunderland & Donny. Had a goal ruled out at home to the Mackams, and Donny went toe to toe and 0-0 was a fair result
We need Watford to slip up asap. 8 points is a lot to catch up on them - their last few games are really tough, so if we could be within a few points of them by then we're in with a chance.
Donny we struggled with Kenny getting injured as well. The weather for the Sunderland match was always going to be a leveller.
I remember that Sunderland match. The wind stopped it from been a good game. The woman behind me spent all first half abusing Davies’ kicking & then started saying he’d sorted his kicking out in the second half even though the Sunderland keeper suddenly couldn’t reach the half way line with his goal kicks.
I explaining to my kids about how the weather had ruined the game as a spectacle, and a draw was better than a loss, and you can't always play pretty football and get results. A bit like the Derby game this season...
With the GD it's essentially 9 points behind Watford. They do have a tough run in after their next couple of game (Home against Brum and Wednesday) and yes, they might lose 3 games and we could win three, providing we don't drop points elswhere, but it's statistically fairly slim and then there's still Brentford and Swansea who'd also have to slip up. But football throws up stupid things every now and again. What it does show is how very good you have to be over 46 games to get automatic promotion, espeically against teams that are all but in name Premisership quality.
I've watched them a few times this season and think they are very poor, I hope Woods plays because after 20 minutes he will be looking for a third lung
I was trying to find a statistical calculation for the chances of making 2nd, so thanks for that. Slightly surprised it's as high as 24%, but Watford do have some tricky games.
It would take some combination of results for us to get second. From us, Watford, Swansea and Brentford. So would be unlikely. I think 5 wins out of the last 9 should be enough for top 6, maybe 4 but that would be cutting it fine. Hopefully we can keep going after the break, and Mowatt's ban doesn't have too big an impact.
I think 24% takes into account our chance of being promoted through the play offs as well as via automatic.