Our very slim chances of 2nd

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board' started by Captain Red, Apr 3, 2024.

  1. Marc

    Marc Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    No, but they did finish 3rd and it took a monumental collapse to deny them autos. The stats are heavily weighted to the teams finishing in 3rd.
     
  2. ATY

    ATYKE1 Well-Known Member

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    Can`t have it both ways - Wednesday lost all form (even for the first leg of the play-off) before turning it around.
    Why can`t we stand a chance this year as long as we get into the play-offs in the first instance?
     
  3. fit

    fitzytyke Well-Known Member

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    Looking at Derbys fixtures I don’t see them dropping many, if any points - unless there’s a bogey team I don’t know about, which means we could win every game and still not go up automatically.

    I honestly think we are capable of beating Charlton and Steve Hillage, but sadly the Sat/Tue combo often ends up with us slipping up in one or the other @paul.d??

    Only thing we can do is try and win those games and take some form and confidence into the playoffs - if that’s where it leaves us.
     
    Mike Lowry likes this.
  4. Micky Finn

    Micky Finn Well-Known Member

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    2nd, no chance, but we might surprise someone in the playoffs, probably ourselves! We know they're capable....
     
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  5. Dragon Tyke

    Dragon Tyke Well-Known Member

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    I certainly hope so MF. To get out of this wilderness would be great.
     
  6. lk3

    lk311 Well-Known Member

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    The good thing about play offs is only 1 of 3 games is at Oakwell :)
     
  7. fit

    fitzytyke Well-Known Member

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    Thing about playoffs at Oakwell is it will be sold out (ish) and it shouldn’t be like a morgue (unless we’ve lost the other leg and playing for pride)
     
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  8. Red

    Red-Taff. Well-Known Member

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    Ever the optimist put a tenner on automatic promotion for the Reds -- disappointing odds of 7/2 - at least bookies not written us off!
     
  9. RedfearnsRocket

    RedfearnsRocket Well-Known Member

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    Derby will probably win 3 out of those 4 giving them 91 points meaning we'd need 92 points due to GD that means we'd need 6 wins from 6 games, playoffs I'm afraid, it would need Derby to have a monumental meltdown even then it would leave Bolton in pole position.
    Nice piece of work by the OP but pretty much futile.
     
  10. onemickybutler

    onemickybutler Well-Known Member

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    Think we'll most likely be playing the first leg at home (as happens 5th v 4th). With our home v away form we'd probably all be celebrating a draw at home as if it were a win :)
     
  11. Dragon Tyke

    Dragon Tyke Well-Known Member

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    Will any of these games be on ifollow or are the greedt bastads at Sky blocking that???
     
  12. ronnieGlavinsB@stardSon

    ronnieGlavinsB@stardSon Well-Known Member

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    Apologies for being boring but lets take one game at a time and concentrate on winning it (and then hopefully repeat).

    Are automatics impossible? No
    Are automatics improbable? Yes

    The likelihood is we'll end up in the play offs and it would be good to go into those in good form but I feel the factor of momentum can be overstated and other factors (e.g. form, suspensions, injuries, opposition, venue, character etc) will have just as much impact on the outcome.

    We have a chance which is all I wanted at the start of the season.
     
    sadbrewer, James98, ATYKE1 and 2 others like this.
  13. Kes

    Kes Active Member

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    We're 28/1 on SkyBet for automatics, so I'd say they have. Sounds like you've backed us for outright promotion inclusive of play offs at those odds, mate.
     
  14. Red

    Red-Taff. Well-Known Member

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    Thanks - you're right -
    son placed bet for me - checked with him and seems he placed bet for promotion not automatic.
     
  15. Cap

    Captain Red Well-Known Member

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    Judging by the games that mattered last season the promoted sides won at least 4 out of last 5. Plymouth won all.


    PLY WWWWW

    SW LWWWW

    IPS WWWWD
     
  16. lan

    lannoy Well-Known Member

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    havn't won at Charlton in over a decade
     
  17. lan

    lannoy Well-Known Member

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    havn't won at pompey since 1999
     
  18. lan

    lannoy Well-Known Member

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    have won once at Blackpool in 15 years
     
  19. lan

    lannoy Well-Known Member

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    2nd place lol have you watched us this year
     
  20. Jay

    Jay Well-Known Member

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    All this.

    I don't think we'll finish second, but we might, and there's nothing at all to be gained from giving up or claiming categorically that we won't as though it's a fact.
     
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