Prediction Time - Labour Seats

Half way between 429 an 272 is 350 i'll av below 350 you can av above 351 the bet is 10quid

 

The dream scenario

 

That's like betting on Man City to finish below 60 points next season!

 

They might if them 115 charges finally get heard!

 

You do realise thats only a 24 seat majority?
When everyone is predicting a historically huge majority for Labour, you're expecting them to scrape home?
Send your tenner to the Teenage Cancer Trust, you might as well do it now

 

Beat me to it! I'll go 433.

 

Labour 469
Conservative 69
Lib Dem 69
Reform 2 (despite getting over 10% of vote)
Green 1
Scottish weirdos 20 (happily seeing their seats collapse)
Welsh weirdos 2
Irish weirdos of various religions 18

 

445 seats

Reform twunts get no more than 3

 

A poll on twitter I saw yesterday with 65k votes had Labour on 18%
And Reform on 65%..
So ether you lot live in a little lefty bubble on here and not in the real world..
Or you can all blame Putin..
Who knows tomorrow will tell.. But my flabber would be gasted if Labour get anywhere near the numbers some have quoted on here..
This Country isn't and never has been a left wing Country. Even the good people of the 'Red' working class areas were and are still proud when their sons and now daughters go to fight for Queen and Country.
I personally will not be voting.. didn't vote before not even the Brexit one... To me it's just a trick to make you think that you have some kind of democracy when you actually haven't.. I will except the result choose what.. with the usual disdain and sarcasm.. Good luck and all the best too you all.. wherever you put your cross, I do believe in the individuals right to choose for themselves.. my choice being not to partake

 

That poll says more about twitter/X than owt else

 

Yeah it'll be interesting to see the source of that poll - Joey Barton did one that was 70% Reform and 25% or so Labour.

I reckon Labour have around 420 seats.

 

They wasn’t the poll on Joey Barton’s twitter feed was it?

The current Labour Party certainly aren’t ‘left’ at the minute. Not that it matters where they’re politically aligned right now. People are just sick of the Tories.

Why do you think people on the left aren’t proud of their soldiers that fight for the country. I don’t speak for everyone but I’m pretty sure most people on the left are very proud of their troops who risk their lives they just don’t think they should be forced to in Afghanistan, Iraq etc

 

I think it's funny accusing people of living in a bubble given some of the online conspiracy bubble stuff you post about Starmer wanting to euthanise everyone, and you not having to pay fines due to the affidavit of some nutter etc.

Roll on the Labour megamaj.

 

I think 407. But I think it could swing massively either way. Tactical voting and turnout will be huge.

I'm not sure I quite believe all the MRP polls. The tories have massive majorities in so many seats and Labour need a swing of 12.7% for a majority of just 1.

But the sentiment to oust the tories is incredibly strong and lifelong tories don't recognise the current party so are abstaining or voting lib dem. Its also telling how defeatist the tory media and candidates are, they will be getting doorstep reaction, not just polls.

I'll be staying up all night. But given the electorate have made shockingly bad choices for over a decade, there's a small part of me that wouldn't be surprised if Starmer doesnt get over the line. That seems very unlikely... But still.

 

450

 

410 for the Exit Poll.

So it should be 10 either side of that probably.

 

Reform on 13 is thoroughly depressing, especially if the tax dodging one in Barnsley is one of them. What actually possesses folk? I'm sure some of his supporters will let us know later, hopefully not.

 

Sky Bet offered 5/2 earlier on the tories to get 100+ seats and that's happening way easily than anyone thought. Seems many people make a lot of noise but then stick to type.

 

Just to play devil's advocate, exit polls have been wrong before, wasn't Kinnock gonna win in '92?

 

They're a lot more accurate now - the last 3 have been correct to within about 8 seats