Can’t bring myself to watch the FA cup draw tonight..

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board' started by Tarntyke, Dec 2, 2024.

  1. man

    mansfield_red Well-Known Member

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    If we had won the game the whole subsequent sequence of events between the game and the draw would have happened differently. The differences may have been individually so small to have been almost imperceptible but would have rippled out to the point where even if we were the same ball number it would have been a different random drawing.
     
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  2. DSLRed

    DSLRed Well-Known Member

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    Sorry, not into all that doc brown stuff. We would have drawn Ipswich.
     
  3. Acido Tyke

    Acido Tyke Well-Known Member

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    I don't begrudge them anything in fairness, despite being annoyingly lucky against us.
    But to be honest I couldn't give a monkey's toss who they've drawn in the next round. :oops:
     
    Last edited: Dec 6, 2024
  4. man

    mansfield_red Well-Known Member

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    1 in 63 times we would have.

    Something like a cup draw is so fragile in terms of probability, based on random collisions between balls and even the slightest difference would change it all.

    There are more different orders of 64 balls than there are atoms in the observable universe.
     
  5. DSLRed

    DSLRed Well-Known Member

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    The draw happened. It was ball 17 vs ball 49. The names attached to those balls didn't make any difference to the fact that it was those 2 balls drawn together.
     
  6. Dja

    Django Well-Known Member

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    Some cracking ties.

    I wish Bromley, Morecambe & Accrington were at home to Newcastle, Chelsea & Liverpool to make the upset seem more feasible but you can’t have everything.
     
  7. man

    mansfield_red Well-Known Member

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    I don't think you appreciate the fragility of something like this. If someone did a cup draw every second since the big bang until now that particular result would almost certainly not happen again in that timeframe. In order for it to have happened everything had to happen literally exactly as it did.

    As an illustration, if we would have won then people would have left the stadium at different times. Traffic patterns, communications everything would have happened slightly differently which would then have subsequently affected everything other people did etc. These minor changes would have rippled across the country - probably nothing noticeable but it would mean that the chance of that bag of balls being tipped into the pot at exactly the same point in time, colliding in exactly the same way and being drawn out in exactly the same order is essentially zero.
     
  8. YT

    YT Well-Known Member

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    I don’t care about that. I care about the smaller clubs getting TV money, a big day for the fans, chance to upset the odds in front of a big audience.
     
  9. Mr Badger

    Mr Badger Well-Known Member

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    And we fcked that one up didn't we.
     
  10. BarnsleyReds

    BarnsleyReds Well-Known Member

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    If the person filling the bowl with balls read out the name of the teams to check them off as they were loading them in, the slight time longer it took to say “Bristol Rovers” as opposed to “Barnsley” could have meant the balls we’re in a different position when that one was loaded in
     
  11. Winker

    Winker Well-Known Member

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    Didnt watch the draw last neight, but just got up an had it taped, wow Harrogate what a draw i can just imagine their fans i bet the buzz is awesome an the same could be said for Accrington, Tamworth, Salford an others enjoy the games you jammy Barstewards,
     
  12. rey

    reytfan Well-Known Member

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    Sadly the TV producers are more concerned with viewing figures so will choose Arsenal v Man Utd over Chelsea v Morecambe. The fans of those smaller clubs will still get their big day out,still dream of a cup upset and their clubs will earn a fortune out of the gate money, but the wider viewing public will probably more appreciate a competitive tie between 2 evenly matched clubs.

    Cue a boring 0-0 at the Emirates and a thrilling 4-3 win for Morecambe at Stamford Bridge
     
  13. In4

    In4reds Well-Known Member

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    Look on the brightside at least we genuinely got knocked out this season.
     
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  14. onemickybutler

    onemickybutler Well-Known Member

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    Yes, made progress to be fair. At least we managed not to get kicked out this time.
     
  15. Tyk

    Tyketical Masterstroke Well-Known Member

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    Fair play to clarke, he did try to make an illegal substitution, so we did have a go at it.
     
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  16. Acido Tyke

    Acido Tyke Well-Known Member

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    Err no sir, he did not lol, it was Marty Devaney who tried to do that!. :rolleyes:
     
    Last edited: Dec 6, 2024
  17. Redhelen

    Redhelen Well-Known Member

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    Not necessarily, cup upsets do happen!
     
  18. rey

    reytfan Well-Known Member

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    They do Helen but I think there's more chance of an upset when the smaller team is at home. In most of those examples it's the Premier side at home so I just don't think they'd make for a great viewing experience. Feel free to bump this though if Salford beat Man City away
     
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  19. Tarntyke

    Tarntyke Well-Known Member

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    Can’t be bothered to look it up, but Is it me or do Chelsea always seem to get a home draw against lower league opponents
     
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  20. dreamboy3000

    dreamboy3000 Well-Known Member

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