55 shots against Bristol Rovers in 2 games

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board' started by Jamo, Jan 18, 2025 at 5:49 PM.

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  1. Farnham_Red

    Farnham_Red Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    Still no idea how it’s calculated but Man City’s xg was 2.8 so they got twice as many goals as expected. That’s what giving players contacts worth a quarter of a Billion pounds gets you
    Our xg was 2.5 so we got about half as expected
    That’s what having no proven strikers gets you
    Don’t ask me to explain why Bristol a relegation threatened club got 1.5 x their xg other than to say the magic that means we never win in Bristol was operating well
     
    Farnham_Red, Jan 19, 2025 at 8:03 PM
    #21
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  2. SFOTyke

    SFOTyke Well-Known Member

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    Bristol's xg seems high for a club which hadn't won at home since October, 2024, against our 4 wins out of 4 and 5 out of 6 form.
     
    SFOTyke, Jan 19, 2025 at 8:35 PM
    #22
  3. Farnham_Red

    Farnham_Red Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    As I’ve said I’ve no idea how it works. They took 3 out of 5 clear chances and a couple of half chances we created double that but only took 1
     
    Farnham_Red, Jan 19, 2025 at 9:13 PM
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  4. Arc

    Archerfield Well-Known Member

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    Here’s a much better stat for you @Gordon Owen , Barnsley xg 3.14, Man City 3.2.
     
    Archerfield, Jan 20, 2025 at 8:18 AM
    #24
  5. WG Red

    WG Red Well-Known Member

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    Xg is a nonsense of a stat for me. Too many variables to consider.
     
    WG Red, Jan 20, 2025 at 8:41 AM
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  6. Arc

    Archerfield Well-Known Member

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    goals scored and conceded is the one for me.
     
    Archerfield, Jan 20, 2025 at 8:49 AM
    #26
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  7. Row

    Row Z Well-Known Member

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    Indeed. The best team is the one that scores the most goals.
     
    Row Z, Jan 20, 2025 at 9:09 AM
    #27
  8. Row

    Row Z Well-Known Member

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    In its defence, it does take a lot of the variables into account, which is why someone thought of it. Shots at goal is the most nonsense because it doesn’t really show what kind of shot or how effective it was.

    It’s all subjective though. Ultimately, the only stat that matters is who scored the most goals. The best team is always the one that scores the most, regardless of whatever stat you come up with. You don’t get owt for artistic impression….
     
    Row Z, Jan 20, 2025 at 9:12 AM
    #28
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  9. WG Red

    WG Red Well-Known Member

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    All ex pros that I have heard mention xg are not convinced about it . Adi Moses was the latest to mention it on Saturday commentary. “Don’t get me started on xg” we’re his words ha. Make of that what you want.
     
    WG Red, Jan 20, 2025 at 9:35 AM
    #29
  10. Skryptic

    Skryptic Well-Known Member

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    xG seems fairly simple to understand, if you expect a penalty to be scored nine times out of ten then it has an xG of 0.9. Extrapolate that across shots from different areas of the pitch based on demonstrable statistical modelling and you can build a picture of how many goals a team should expect to score. I guess that's why Adie is a pundit not a coach or manager.
     
    Skryptic, Jan 20, 2025 at 10:00 AM
    #30
  11. lk3

    lk311 Well-Known Member

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    Wasn’t our shot count v actual goals scored under Stendel similar because we shot from anywhere in their half?
    Difference being we also had some decent goalscoring forwards.
     
    lk311, Jan 20, 2025 at 10:24 AM
    #31
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  12. WG Red

    WG Red Well-Known Member

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    Does it take into account goalie, can’t believe you dissin Adie btw.
     
    WG Red, Jan 20, 2025 at 10:31 AM
    #32
  13. Frans

    Frans Well-Known Member

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    Pretty sure the ref blew his whistle before the flag went up, so it appears he saw something first..
     
    Frans, Jan 20, 2025 at 11:35 AM
    #33
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