Points to survive?

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board' started by troff, Dec 10, 2017.

  1. troff

    troff Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 29, 2009
    Messages:
    10,688
    Likes Received:
    14,927
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    donny
    Home Page:
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    The benchmark is generally 50. We needed 5 more to pip Peterborough a few years back, last season 51 points wasn’t enough for Blackburn, the two seasons prior to that though, only 41 and 42 would have been needed based on third bottom’s tallies of 40 and 41.

    Looking at our current average points per game, we’d hit 44. Seems low - but do we expect Burton, Sunderland, Birmingham, Bolton to improve much? At the current ppg third bottom would have only 35!

    I don’t think it’ll be that low but I’ve a feeling 50 points won’t necessarily be required.
     
  2. orsenkaht

    orsenkaht Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 7, 2009
    Messages:
    11,866
    Likes Received:
    11,661
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    I think that Burton and Bolton will continue to struggle, but Sunderland and Birmingham are already showing flickers of improvement under new management. But the biggest problem is that the way we are playing at the moment, you struggle to see us gaining another 15 points, let alone 30 that might see us safe. We need changes in January, because the evidence at present strongly suggests this squad isn't good enough.
     
    Kettlewell likes this.
  3. Redstone

    Redstone Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 10, 2005
    Messages:
    16,072
    Likes Received:
    11,516
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Style:
    Barnsley Dark
    Sunderland and Birmingham are very likely to strengthen in January. I sense we won't be doing that or certainly not bringing anyone proven in.
     
  4. Hud

    Huddersfield Red Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2012
    Messages:
    2,346
    Likes Received:
    135
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Style:
    Barnsley
    How on earth can Hecky plan for January with all this uncertainty? 2nd division clubs are run better than we are.
     
  5. Jimmy viz

    Jimmy viz Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 30, 2012
    Messages:
    29,684
    Likes Received:
    19,158
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Ballet Dancer
    Location:
    Hiding under the bed
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    Bolton and Burton will continue to struggle along with us. Sunderland and Birmingham will both recover so I’d say we have to look to finish above Millwall who are the weakest team I’ve seen this season. So still early 50s for survival. I can’t see us doing it.
     
  6. fit

    fitzytyke2 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 2016
    Messages:
    7,146
    Likes Received:
    3,326
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I expect us to improve in January.

    As things are hecky keeps chopping and changing to freshen things up but with little or no success because there is little variety.

    Players come on as subs and look half decent, but when given a start they aren't having the same effect. Hedges is a prime example, and by virtue of that, I don't think we can get any worse.

    January can't weaken us because we're now so poor. We can either stay the same or improve.
     
  7. Marc

    Marc Administrator Staff Member Admin

    Joined:
    Aug 10, 2012
    Messages:
    28,399
    Likes Received:
    23,455
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    I'd like to see Hecky pick an 11 and stick with it - even if it's not the 11 I agree with. I get the dilemma he has, but right now I think a consistent line up is gonna give us the best chance of starting to pick points up.
     
  8. Mrs

    MrsHallsToffeerolls Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 28, 2007
    Messages:
    27,189
    Likes Received:
    5,764
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Home Page:
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    Moncur another looks alreet for 15-20 mins but crap when he gets a start.
     
  9. cli

    clints right foot Active Member

    Joined:
    Nov 6, 2015
    Messages:
    165
    Likes Received:
    132
    Trophy Points:
    43
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    46 points is the average over the last 10 seasons. This is taken from before the Derby game so we’ve slipped below the relegation line now.
     

    Attached Files:

  10. tyr

    tyrone1 Banned Idiot

    Joined:
    Sep 17, 2011
    Messages:
    8,815
    Likes Received:
    358
    Trophy Points:
    83
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    How do you know how well the business is run
     
  11. loy

    loyal tyke mb Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 23, 2009
    Messages:
    1,005
    Likes Received:
    235
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Home Page:
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    Only lost 1 in 8 before current run . Looks like any 3 fom 5 or 6 I would take 47 points and hope it would be enough. Hecky needs some backing in January cant keep marking time every season only one outcome in the en.
     
  12. fit

    fitzytyke2 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 2016
    Messages:
    7,146
    Likes Received:
    3,326
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Bit confused by that one. We are a 2nd division club aren't we?

    If by 2nd division he means league two, then I'd like to know which ones, and also if they're so well run, how come they're where they are and were where we are?
     
    tyrone1 likes this.
  13. tyr

    tyrone1 Banned Idiot

    Joined:
    Sep 17, 2011
    Messages:
    8,815
    Likes Received:
    358
    Trophy Points:
    83
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    Huddersfield tyke is clearly an accomplished BA with.access to each football clubs documented business processes
     
    fitzytyke2 likes this.
  14. DON

    DONKEYDOO Active Member

    Joined:
    Nov 14, 2017
    Messages:
    258
    Likes Received:
    62
    Trophy Points:
    28
    Gender:
    Male
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    ill say it again if hecky wasn't from town or hadn't played before or hadn't gon to Wembley twice he wouldn't be at the club. seams like sentiment is ruling over common sence
    His results and performances over the past 18 months in the championship are appaling (getting to Wembley twice and promotion was outstanding but when the chips are down there is no room for sentiment.I keep hearingthat he didn't sign thease players .That's rubbish,No body tells me he didn't have input, I know that we haven't got bundles of cash but we had money through the door last season.This squad just isn't good enough to progress in the championship Changes need to be made now in all aspects of the team and management. and further more if we get investment in our team or club ill show my arse on the town hall steps
     
  15. fit

    fitzytyke2 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 2016
    Messages:
    7,146
    Likes Received:
    3,326
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I would agree that the championship results at home have been largely rubbish, but 9 wins away from home last season is some going.
     
  16. Redstone

    Redstone Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 10, 2005
    Messages:
    16,072
    Likes Received:
    11,516
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Style:
    Barnsley Dark
    If LJ wasn't sacked for his run in league one then surely Hecky shouldn't be for one in a higher league with a even more inexperienced team?
     
  17. troff

    troff Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 29, 2009
    Messages:
    10,688
    Likes Received:
    14,927
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    donny
    Home Page:
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    Who would do a better job in the circumstances who would accept the job and the burdens he’d have to work with?

    I’ll chance my arm and say absolutely nobody. Your thoughts?
     
    MarioKempes likes this.
  18. DON

    DONKEYDOO Active Member

    Joined:
    Nov 14, 2017
    Messages:
    258
    Likes Received:
    62
    Trophy Points:
    28
    Gender:
    Male
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    I couldn't do worse we are staring relegation in the face
     
  19. Farnham_Red

    Farnham_Red Administrator Staff Member Admin

    Joined:
    Jul 18, 2005
    Messages:
    34,391
    Likes Received:
    23,826
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Farnham
    Style:
    Barnsley
    Of course he could do worse. Currently we are clear of the relegation spots. Look how well Grayson did at Sunderland - thats doing worse for a start
     
    Redstone likes this.
  20. troff

    troff Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 29, 2009
    Messages:
    10,688
    Likes Received:
    14,927
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    donny
    Home Page:
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    And in one instant any credibility your post had, which was little anyway, has gone

    Maybe.

    But having had all the players sold that had any value, and having them replaced with cheap alternatives from lower leagues and with little experience, none of which at this level; selected for him from a statistical analysing spreadsheet (yes he might have had a choice between one or two but they weren’t offering much were they?), what exactly was a realistic expectation?

    I ask again. With those constraints, which professional football manager do you think would have done any better than have us 4 points above the relegation zone after 21 games? And would he have done it for the league one/two salary Hecky gets and the restrictions in place? Until he signs this new deal I would think Hecky will be the lowest paid manager in this division, with probably half of league one paying more. So who’s better who’d want it?

    Given your answer before was yourself, I assume you have no suggestion.
     

Share This Page