Your bottom 3.......

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board' started by exiled, Jul 15, 2020.

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  1. Wilmersdorfer Winky

    Wilmersdorfer Winky Well-Known Member

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    I got us staying up on goal difference. 1 win, 2 draws.
     
    Wilmersdorfer Winky, Jul 16, 2020
    #21
  2. Jimmy viz

    Jimmy viz Well-Known Member

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    Luton
    Hull
    Barnsley.
     
    Jimmy viz, Jul 16, 2020
    #22
  3. Redstone

    Redstone Well-Known Member

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    What we need is a points per £ spent on players/wages table.
     
    Redstone, Jul 16, 2020
    #23
  4. e-red

    e-red Well-Known Member

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    Barnsley 47
    Luton 47
    Hull 46
    Barnsley relegated on goal difference from Charlton. Got us having a win (forest), a draw (Brentford) losing tonight. A draw tonight would be a fantastic result.
     
    e-red, Jul 16, 2020
    #24
  5. Stephen Dawson

    Stephen Dawson Well-Known Member

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    That's why the match last night needed a result either way. The draw just put Brum safe and narrowed down our window of opportunity.
     
    Stephen Dawson, Jul 16, 2020
    #25
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  6. Farnham_Red

    Farnham_Red Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    so using the calculator and trying to be optimistically realistic (win 1 lose 1 against forest and Leeds) I have us going into the last game needing a win at Brentford and relying on other results to be safe
    Brentord unfortunately will need a win and hope WBA slip up to get Automatic so they will have all to play for. Though realistically I cant see WBA not beating QPR
    If we fail to beat Brentford we would be down with Hull and Huddersfield. If we win we stand a good chance of sending Charlton or Luton down
    To summarise win 2 of the last 3 puts us on the bubble but I think we may well survive get any less than than 6 points we are almost certainly down 7 points and above I think we should survive - Wigan will be safe even with their 12 point penalty
    Wednesday are down if they get a penalty of 8 points or more but it doesnt help us too much other than make it almost certain that 6 points will save us

    My prediction
    for Bottom 3 are Hull, Barnsley and Huddersfield - Fowls replacing Huddersfield if they get a points deduction
     
    Farnham_Red, Jul 16, 2020
    #26
  7. Stephen Dawson

    Stephen Dawson Well-Known Member

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    Until last night best case scenario I had us down to stay up on goal difference with 49 points with Birmingham going down. However, in my head I can't see past three defeats.
     
    Stephen Dawson, Jul 16, 2020
    #27
  8. Kex

    KexbroughRed Well-Known Member

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    The game at Brentford, could be like 2 games in one. If we both needed the win but we could hold out until half-time, news could could then come through that West Brom are 2-0 up against QPR meaning it's effectively over for Brentford. They take their foot off the gas second half and we nick a winner.... Roy of the Rovers stuff maybe but this is the way football works and anything could happen if we could manage to take it to the last day.
     
    Last edited: Jul 16, 2020
    KexbroughRed, Jul 16, 2020
    #28
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  9. Redhelen

    Redhelen Well-Known Member

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    Only problem is , I can't see Brentford taking their foot off the gas in that scenario.
     
    Redhelen, Jul 16, 2020
    #29
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  10. ley

    leythtyke Well-Known Member

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    After going through all the predictions, I had us, Hull and Charlton going down, with Hudds escaping by a point on 48 points.

    We'll be down at full time on Sunday.
     
    leythtyke, Jul 16, 2020
    #30
  11. Marlon

    Marlon Well-Known Member

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    Charlton/Luton
    Hull
    Reds
     
    Marlon, Jul 16, 2020
    #31
  12. On yer tyke

    On yer tyke Well-Known Member

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    Did the calculator and got the same result but different order.

    Barnsley 47
    Wigan 46
    Hull 45
     
    On yer tyke, Jul 16, 2020
    #32
  13. dreamboy3000

    dreamboy3000 Well-Known Member

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    Try and keep in the mix by getting something out of the game today and then Sunday go down the Arsenal route to put off our opponents so we win :D

     
    dreamboy3000, Jul 16, 2020
    #33
  14. She

    Sheriff Well-Known Member

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    That's pretty much how I see it. Anything less than 6 points from the last 3 doesn't do it, 6 points probably is enough but not guaranteed, and anything more than 6 points likely does the job.

    The two critical fixtures which are out of our control are Charlton vs Wigan and Luton vs Hull, as someone in the mix is bound to pick up points from them. Getting within 12 points of Wigan's total might be critical for us, but in most scenarios I have them keeping clear of this. Of the final day fixtures, Luton look to have a winnable game vs Blackburn, with Wigan next best, assuming that Fulham are focused on the play-offs by then. All the others in the mix, including ourselves, look like big underdogs vs teams who should still be in the play-off mix.

    The fundamental problem is that I don't see where the 2nd win we need comes from, assuming that we can beat Forest. I think we stand a better chance of beating Leeds than Brentford, but that's not saying much.
     
    Sheriff, Jul 16, 2020
    #34
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  15. RC_

    RC_tyke Well-Known Member

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    Bet Adam Hammill wishes he was there. He used to love spitting water out pre game like Triple H used to do before getting in the ring.
     
    RC_tyke, Jul 16, 2020
    #35
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