current projection.....

I would have said it was before Saturday, but all the results have gone our way so it makes it more attainable.

 

on with it

 

after last night's games here's an update projection

 

I`ve got us finishing on 91 too.

 

No

 

Million dollar question assuming the above is can we see Bolton and/or Derby getting 26 points or more from 12 and 11 games respectively?

 

I don't think it's all over... Portsmouth have the worst run in I reckon.. 7 of the current top 10.
Barnsley, Derby, Bolton plus Blackpool, Burton, Wigan, Oxford, Peterborough, Wycombe, Shrewsbury, Lincoln.

 

Short version: I'd expect Portsmouth to drop some points as their run in is quite tough compared to other teams.

Long version:

Portsmouth's current PPG is 2.09.

The PPG of the teams they have already played is only 1.27.

The PPG of the remaining teams left to play is 1.60.

That's a difference of 0.33 points per game.

Their expected remaining PPG is 2.09 - 0.33 = 1.76

1.76 * 11 games = 19 points.

73 points + 19 points = 92 points.

 

I hope yer reight but the way there playing and a cushion of 7 points it'll tek a massive run by someone to catch em, games in hand mean knowt, points in the bag i'd prefer anyday. Lots to play for and 8 teams in the mix. C,O,Y,R.

 

It's not as bad as it seems... we have two games in hand, but as you say they have the points, but if we win both and beat Portsmouth, there's a point between us.

 

Your spot on, but if, if, an if, are 3 big ifs not impossible and i love your optimism.

 

Not optimism... but if we were in their shoes that's what's I'd be worrying about.

 

When we go there and pump them 3-0, they'll crumble and we'll finish clear as Champions.
Now that's optimism!

 

I was too frightened to say that

 

I hope yer both reight, save me a lot of money, weekends in London dunt come cheap.