A Relegation Wager

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board ARCHIVE' started by orsenkaht, Apr 28, 2013.

  1. orsenkaht

    orsenkaht Well-Known Member

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    Wednesday 14/1
    Millwall 16/1
    Huddersfield 25/1

    You can balance your stakes to get 5/1 any one of those three goes down, which represents a 20% chance.

    Fairish wager, in my view ;-)
     
  2. Merde Tete

    Merde Tete Well-Known Member

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    Cheers for working that out! What are we?
     
  3. orsenkaht

    orsenkaht Well-Known Member

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    We are best priced 8/11 (Corals), which represents a 58% chance. I reckon we are nearer a 50% chance, as it effectively equates to the odds of our winning next Saturday. So that price would represent little value (unless you wanted emotional insurance).

    On the other hand, I think there is probably a better than 20% chance of one of Fowls, Lions or Terriers to go down, which makes their combined 5/1 odds reasonable value, in my view!
     
  4. Wayne

    Wayne Well-Known Member

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    Looked earlier on oddschecker, worth having £2 on Millwall
     

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