Deluded piggy

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board' started by tyke69, May 18, 2023.

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  1. tyk

    tyke69 Well-Known Member

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    Talking to a piggy fan in pub other day, he reckons they can win 5-0 tonight as Barcelona managed to come back from 4-0 before. Nearly spilled my pint, how deluded they must be!
     
    tyke69, May 18, 2023
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  2. ley

    leythtyke Well-Known Member

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    If he's said that they can, I wouldn't say that is deluded. If they can get themselves 2 up on the night with 20-30 mins to go (or longer), then they can make it nervy for Peterborough.

    Whether they will, is a different matter.
     
    leythtyke, May 18, 2023
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  3. Gordon Owen

    Gordon Owen Well-Known Member

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    2 early goals and owt could happen, they've amassed nearly 100 pts this season so they're used to winning - it's now focused on by how many.
     
    Gordon Owen, May 18, 2023
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  4. nezbfc

    nezbfc Well-Known Member

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    Alternatively Peterborough go for the jugular and score in first 10/15 minutes.

    Good night Vienna

    I reckon Peterborough only need to get 1 during the game, and it will sink any hope/confidence Wednesday have. The worst thing Peterborough can do is sit and defend for 90 minutes... At least have a plan to get some shots on target is a must
     
    nezbfc, May 18, 2023
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  5. Redstone

    Redstone Well-Known Member

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    5-0 home win is currently 50-1 with sky bet. Things that happen once in 51 times happen everyday so it is possible. Just unlikely.
     
    Redstone, May 18, 2023
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  6. Sup

    Superhiggy Well-Known Member

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    The fact is that they could have had five last friday,one on one,hand ball ,one kicked off line and a few more half chances when peterboro got caught out playing from the back.Thats what worries me.:eek:
     
    Superhiggy, May 18, 2023
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  7. Redhelen

    Redhelen Well-Known Member

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    I'll say it now, no chance!
     
    Redhelen, May 18, 2023
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  8. Gally

    Gally Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    Saw a thread on facebook earlier where the first poster (and many others) were saying similar.
     
    Gally, May 18, 2023
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  9. exiled

    exiled Well-Known Member

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    I just don't see Pboro not at least 1. Weds gotta go for it and Pboro will exploit that. 3-2 fowls my guess.
     
    exiled, May 18, 2023
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  10. Redhelen

    Redhelen Well-Known Member

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    .
    But so could Boro . Think weds could get an early goal, move to press on and get caught out by Boro, back to square 1.
     
    Redhelen, May 18, 2023
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  11. Brush

    Brush Well-Known Member

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    I don't think betting odds reflect real world probability. You'd really need to analyse all football results in history and find the proportion of games which end with a 5-0 scoreline. I have no idea what that actual probability is but I suspect it's not 1 in 50.
    Edit; a 5-0 home win has a probability of 0.9%, ie roughly 1 in 100.
     
    Brush, May 18, 2023
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  12. Men

    Menai Tyke Well-Known Member

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    Bit like our game could all come down to who scores the first goal.
     
    Menai Tyke, May 18, 2023
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  13. Prince of Risborough

    Prince of Risborough Well-Known Member

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    After watching the City v RM highlights this morning on YouTube a podcast popped up straight away from an Oxford fan. Predictions for tonight and tomorrow. His verdict - 2-1 to Wednesday so they’re out. Very complimentary about us but sees it as another 1-1 with the Reds winning on penalties. I would be happy with both those outcomes.
     
    Prince of Risborough, May 18, 2023
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  14. Redstone

    Redstone Well-Known Member

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    Agree entirely was just giving a very basic example of why it's possible. In fact they dont need to win 5-0 just by 5 goals which will have a even greater probability of happening than 5-0.
    Even if we worked out the probability of winning by 5 was 1 in a million, things that have a 1 in a million chance of happening also happen all the time.
     
    Redstone, May 18, 2023
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  15. Archey

    Archey Well-Known Member

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    He's not wrong to be fair.

    They probably won't, but they certainly can.
     
    Archey, May 18, 2023
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  16. ley

    leythtyke Well-Known Member

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    If it goes to penalties, I struggle to see how we could win.
     
    leythtyke, May 18, 2023
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  17. Abruzzo Red

    Abruzzo Red Well-Known Member

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    The Wendies will be pushing for goals so will more than likely leave gaps at the back for Peterborough to counter. Peterborough have some fast forwards so may catch them piggies out. As previous posters have said, it will only take one goal for Peterborough and the Wendies will be sunk.
     
    Abruzzo Red, May 18, 2023
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  18. red

    redrum Well-Known Member

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    They need to attack. Peterborough will hit them on the counter will suit Peterborough more like the 2nd half in the 1st leg.
     
    redrum, May 18, 2023
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  19. Jam

    Jamo Well-Known Member

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    For maximum lols, I hope they go 4-0 up, raising all their hopes, then get done on the break with Posh grabbing a "consolation" to make it 4-1 on the night but 4-5 on aggregate. Imagine feeling gutted about a 4-1 win...
     
    Jamo, May 18, 2023
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  20. exiled

    exiled Well-Known Member

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    I fail to see how anyone with any knowledge of this season can come to the logical conclusion that if the game goes to penalties, we win o_O
     
    exiled, May 18, 2023
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