Last ten years relegation stats.

We have 31points before Boxing Day

2004–05 Gillingham (50), Nottingham Forest (44), Rotherham United (29)
2005–06 Crewe Alexandra (42), Millwall (40), Brighton & Hove Albion (38)
2006–07 Southend United (42), Luton Town (40), Leeds United (36)
2007–08 Leicester City (52), S****horpe United (46), Colchester United (38)
2008–09 Norwich City (46), Southampton (45), Charlton Athletic (39)
2009–10 Sheffield Wednesday (47), Plymouth Argyle (41), Peterborough United (34)
2010–11 Preston North End (42) , Sheffield United (42), S****horpe United (42)
2011–12 Portsmouth (40), Coventry City (40), Doncaster Rovers (36)
2012–13 Peterborough United (54), Wolverhampton Wanderers (51), Bristol City (41)
2013–14 Doncaster Rovers (44), Barnsley (39), Yeovil Town (37)
2014–15 Millwall (41), Wigan Athletic (39), Blackpool (26)
2015–16 Charlton Athletic (40) , Milton Keynes Dons (39), Bolton Wanderers (30)

 

Very interesting that although 50 is considered the benchmark for survival, in most seasons 45 was enough. Needing 50 or more is a real outlier. Also very interesting that barring a total meltdown we're likely to pass our entire 2013-14 total in January / February.

 

Another 22 points is enough according to that then. Think we won't be looking up nor down this season with the start we've had.

 

Unless of course we go on an after Christmas run like last season.......!

 

We can look up though we are only 5 points off the play offs. We still have all the playoff teams exept reading to play at home.

 

Have you got the stats to hand for play-off positions? I honestly think we are more likely to be play-off candidates than relegation candidates - especially if there are none of our top players leaving in January. I even had a small wager on promotion the other day at 150/1.

 

you are dreaming...


2004–05 Sunderland 94 Wigan Athletic 87 West Ham United 73 (6th) 1–0 Preston North End 75 (5th)
2005–06 Reading 106 Sheffield United 90 Watford 81 (3rd) 3–0 Leeds United 78 (5th)
2006–07 Sunderland 88 Birmingham City 86 Derby County 84 (3rd) 1–0 West Bromwich Albion 76 (4th)
2007–08 West Bromwich Albion 81 Stoke City 79 Hull City 75 (3rd) 1–0 Bristol City 74 (4th)
2008–09 Wolverhampton Wanderers 90 Birmingham City 83 Burnley 76 (5th) 1–0 Sheffield United 80 (3rd)
2009–10 Newcastle United 102 West Bromwich Albion 91 Blackpool 70 (6th) 3–2 Cardiff City 76 (4th)
2010–11 Queens Park Rangers 88 Norwich City1 84 Swansea City 80 (3rd) 4–2 Reading 77 (5th)
2011–12 Reading 89 Southampton 88 West Ham United 86 (3rd) 2–1 Blackpool 75 (5th)
2012–13 Cardiff City 87 Hull City 79 Crystal Palace 72 (5th) 1–0 (a.e.t) Watford 77 (3rd)
2013–14 Leicester City 102 Burnley2 93 Queens Park Rangers 80 (4th) 1–0 Derby County 85 (3rd)
2014–15 Bournemouth 90 Watford 89 Norwich City 86 (3rd) 2–0 Middlesbrough 85 (4th)
2015–16 Burnley 93 Middlesbrough 89 Hull City 83 (4th) 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday 74 (6th)

 

It's nice to dream sometimes - if it's a nice dream. Blackpool got promoted with 70 points. If we win on Boxing Day we'll have 34 points at the half-way point. 36 in the second half of the season would give us 70. It's not such an outrageous idea.

 

Playoffs definitely doable, first time since 2007 we've been in the top half of Championship at Xmas. 2017 is our year, markmiwurdz.