Millwall 14/1 for the JPT

I alluded to this last week, but I think this is an interesting price. The obvious arguments against them turning the tie around are that they couldn't beat Oxford at home, and the latter have the second meanest defence at home in League Two. Set against that, Millwall have won three of their last five away from home, scoring 10 and conceding only 5 in the process. They have won more points away than at home across the season, and need only get two goals and win on penalties to come through this. Not diificult to imagine that the travelling Millwall fans might also create something of an intimidating atmosphere at Oxford.

If Millwall come through the tie, they are almost certain to be favourites at Wembley, given that they are comfortably the highest ranked team left in the tournament. That gives us the opportunity to lay off by backing their opponents. All this is of course speculative, but at 14/1 to win the Trophy you don't have to risk too much to potentially get in a winning position either way come April.

 

If Millwall get through they will be facing the side that has already doubled them this season