We need 5 points from these to guarantee we are above Leicester before we play them. Remember Leicester and a couple of others have a point advantage due to goal difference. We need to assume Leicester will beat Colchester on Setdy If we can get to 51 points by the time we play them it will put us in a good position. they will need to come and win. If we get these 5 points and beat Leicester we will be safe, If we dont get the result against Leicester we still have 2 more chances to do it and with 5 or 6 other teams not safe yet we would still be in with a shout. Any thoughts?
I've tried the BBC predictor every which way and it all seems to boil down to....................... beat Leicester
unfortunately the statistics show ................. they are our most difficult team at home in this division-the only team who have won more than they have lost at Oakwell (N) </p> </p><table width="336" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" border="0" style="border-collapse: collapse"> <tbody><tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl68" style="height: 17px; width: 98px">Home</td> <td class="xl65" style="width: 28px">P</td> <td class="xl65" style="width: 28px">W</td> <td class="xl65" style="width: 28px">D</td> <td class="xl65" style="width: 28px">L</td> <td class="xl65" style="width: 49px">%W</td> <td class="xl65" style="width: 42px">%D</td> <td class="xl65" style="width: 42px">%L</td> <td class="xl66" style="width: 39px">PTS</td> <td class="xl67" style="width: 64px">This year</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl73" style="height: 17px">Scnuthorpe</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-left: medium none">12</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-left: medium none">9</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-left: medium none">1</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-left: medium none">2</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-left: medium none">75.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-left: medium none">8.3%</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-left: medium none">16.7%</td> <td align="right" class="xl86" style="border-left: medium none">2.33</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-left: medium none">3</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; height: 17px">Stoke </td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">27</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">16</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">7</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">4</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">59.3%</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">25.9%</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">14.8%</td> <td align="right" class="xl85" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">2.04</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; height: 17px">Blackpool</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">37</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">23</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">7</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">7</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">62.2%</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">18.9%</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">18.9%</td> <td align="right" class="xl86" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">2.05</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">3</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl75" style="border-top: medium none; height: 17px">Charlton</td> <td align="right" class="xl75" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">20</td> <td align="right" class="xl75" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">12</td> <td align="right" class="xl75" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">4</td> <td align="right" class="xl75" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">4</td> <td align="right" class="xl76" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">60.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl76" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">20.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl76" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">20.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl77" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">2.00</td> <td class="xl75" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none"> </td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; height: 17px">Bristol C</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">38</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">22</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">9</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">7</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">57.9%</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">23.7%</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">18.4%</td> <td align="right" class="xl86" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1.97</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">3</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; height: 17px">Southampton</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">25</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">14</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">7</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">4</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">56.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">28.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">16.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl85" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1.96</td> <td align="right" class="xl88" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; height: 17px">QPR</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">20</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">11</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">6</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">3</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">55.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">30.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">15.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl85" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1.95</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; height: 17px">Wolves</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">37</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">21</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">9</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">7</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">56.8%</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">24.3%</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">18.9%</td> <td align="right" class="xl86" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1.95</td> <td align="right" class="xl87" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">3</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 18px"> <td class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; height: 18px">Preston</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">19</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">11</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">3</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">5</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">57.9%</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">15.8%</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">26.3%</td> <td align="right" class="xl86" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1.89</td> <td align="right" class="xl87" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">3</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl71" style="border-top: medium none; height: 17px">Coventry </td> <td align="right" class="xl71" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">23</td> <td align="right" class="xl71" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">12</td> <td align="right" class="xl71" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">6</td> <td align="right" class="xl71" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">5</td> <td align="right" class="xl72" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">52.2%</td> <td align="right" class="xl72" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">26.1%</td> <td align="right" class="xl72" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">21.7%</td> <td align="right" class="xl82" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1.83</td> <td align="right" class="xl71" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">0</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 18px"> <td class="xl89" style="border-top: medium none; height: 18px">Ipswich </td> <td align="right" class="xl89" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">14</td> <td align="right" class="xl89" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">8</td> <td align="right" class="xl89" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1</td> <td align="right" class="xl89" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">5</td> <td align="right" class="xl90" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">57.1%</td> <td align="right" class="xl90" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">7.1%</td> <td align="right" class="xl90" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">35.7%</td> <td align="right" class="xl91" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1.79</td> <td align="right" class="xl89" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">3</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl69" style="height: 17px">Hull </td> <td align="right" class="xl69" style="border-left: medium none">45</td> <td align="right" class="xl69" style="border-left: medium none">22</td> <td align="right" class="xl69" style="border-left: medium none">11</td> <td align="right" class="xl69" style="border-left: medium none">12</td> <td align="right" class="xl70" style="border-left: medium none">48.9%</td> <td align="right" class="xl70" style="border-left: medium none">24.4%</td> <td align="right" class="xl70" style="border-left: medium none">26.7%</td> <td align="right" class="xl81" style="border-left: medium none">1.71</td> <td class="xl69" style="border-left: medium none"> </td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; height: 17px">Palace</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">25</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">12</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">5</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">8</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">48.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">20.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">32.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl85" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1.64</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; height: 17px">Watford</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">22</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">10</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">6</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">6</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">45.5%</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">27.3%</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">27.3%</td> <td align="right" class="xl86" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1.64</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">3</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; height: 17px">Sheff Wed</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">27</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">12</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">8</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">7</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">44.4%</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">29.6%</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">25.9%</td> <td align="right" class="xl85" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1.63</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; height: 17px">WBA</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">30</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">12</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">12</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">6</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">40.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">40.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">20.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl86" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1.60</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">3</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; height: 17px">Colchester</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">17</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">7</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">4</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">6</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">41.2%</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">23.5%</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">35.3%</td> <td align="right" class="xl86" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1.47</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">3</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; height: 17px">Burnley</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">27</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">10</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">9</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">8</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">37.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">33.3%</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">29.6%</td> <td align="right" class="xl85" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1.44</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; height: 17px">Cardiff </td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">16</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">6</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">5</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">5</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">37.5%</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">31.3%</td> <td align="right" class="xl84" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">31.3%</td> <td align="right" class="xl85" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1.44</td> <td align="right" class="xl83" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl71" style="border-top: medium none; height: 17px">Norwich </td> <td align="right" class="xl71" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">15</td> <td align="right" class="xl71" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">6</td> <td align="right" class="xl71" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">3</td> <td align="right" class="xl71" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">6</td> <td align="right" class="xl72" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">40.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl72" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">20.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl72" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">40.0%</td> <td align="right" class="xl82" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1.40</td> <td align="right" class="xl71" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">0</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; height: 17px">Plymouth</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">28</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">10</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">9</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">9</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">35.7%</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">32.1%</td> <td align="right" class="xl74" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">32.1%</td> <td align="right" class="xl86" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1.39</td> <td align="right" class="xl73" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">3</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl71" style="border-top: medium none; height: 17px">Sheff U</td> <td align="right" class="xl71" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">26</td> <td align="right" class="xl71" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">8</td> <td align="right" class="xl71" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">10</td> <td align="right" class="xl71" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">8</td> <td align="right" class="xl72" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">30.8%</td> <td align="right" class="xl72" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">38.5%</td> <td align="right" class="xl72" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">30.8%</td> <td align="right" class="xl82" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1.31</td> <td align="right" class="xl71" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">0</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 18px"> <td class="xl78" style="border-top: medium none; height: 18px">Leicester </td> <td align="right" class="xl78" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">45</td> <td align="right" class="xl78" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">14</td> <td align="right" class="xl78" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">15</td> <td align="right" class="xl78" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">16</td> <td align="right" class="xl79" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">31.1%</td> <td align="right" class="xl79" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">33.3%</td> <td align="right" class="xl79" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">35.6%</td> <td align="right" class="xl80" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none">1.27</td> <td class="xl78" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none"> </td> </tr> <tr style="height: 17px"> <td class="xl69" style="height: 17px"> </td> <td align="right" class="xl69" style="border-left: medium none">595</td> <td align="right" class="xl69" style="border-left: medium none">288</td> <td align="right" class="xl69" style="border-left: medium none">157</td> <td align="right" class="xl69" style="border-left: medium none">150</td> <td align="right" class="xl70" style="border-left: medium none">48.4%</td> <td align="right" class="xl70" style="border-left: medium none">26.4%</td> <td align="right" class="xl70" style="border-left: medium none">25.2%</td> <td align="right" class="xl81" style="border-left: medium none">1.72</td> <td align="right" class="xl69" style="border-left: medium none">37</td> </tr> </tbody></table> </p>
My concern is the goal diff If its between us and Leicester or Wednesday we might have a problem. It could be handy if Southampton get dragged back into it. Do you think its anyone from Norwich down? I reckon Preston and QPR have hit the mark we need to be aiming for.
Important fixtures left Looking like one from seven teams to me. Think 53/54 points will be enough. Leicester seem to hold the key to who goes down playing us and Fowls. Watford v BARNSLEY ---------------------------- Cardiff v BLACKPOOL Charlton v SOUTHAMPTON COVENTRY v Stoke LEICESTER v Colchester Preston v BARNSLEY Ipswich v NORWICH SHEFF WED v Plymouth ----------------------------- BARNSLEY v Hull ----------------------------- BARNSLEY v LEICESTER BLACKPOOL v SHEFF WED Colchester v COVENTRY NORWICH v West Brom SOUTHAMPTON v Burnley ------------------------------ BARNSLEY v Charlton COVENTRY v Wolverhampton LEICESTER v SHEFF WED NORWICH v Q.p.r Plymouth v BLACKPOOL West Brom v SOUTHAMPTON -------------------------------- BLACKPOOL v Watford Cardiff v BARNSLEY Charlton v COVENTRY SHEFF WED v NORWICH SOUTHAMPTON v Sheff Utd Stoke v LEICESTER
3 home wins would see us safe.... Can actually see us pulling that off strangely enough, any point away is a bonus.
We have Blackpool at home this Saturday. I think tonight at Ipswich we will have a weekend team and get nothing from the game probably rendering our league campagin over in regards to trying to get in the play off's. On Saturday I think the players rested will be back and we will give Blackpool a right game and beat them. I think Blackpool are involved in the dog fight at the bottom and can't write themselves out of it. Its all down to getting some kind of run together of any sorts and if you can do that now you will put the shits up the others while hauling yourselves away. Good luck with it.
Wost case scenario By the time we play Leicester. Coventry 52 Southampton 52 Sheff Wed 51 Leicester 50 BARNSLEY 46 With three games left Shows how important it is to get some points in these next three games.
Best Case scenario Barnsley 55 blah blah blah Piggies 48 Realistic scenario Barnsley 50 coventry 49 soton 49 blackpool 49 Piggies 49
