Serious Value Alert - They're At It Again!

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board ARCHIVE' started by orsenkaht, Nov 21, 2014.

  1. orsenkaht

    orsenkaht Well-Known Member

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    Bet365 go 3/1 Barnsley.

    We're 3 from 8 away (37.5%) while the Spireites are 3 from 8 (37.5%) at home. We are on a winning run while they are on a losing one, and missing a main midfield playmaker tomorrow. We have 22 points from 16 games while Chesterfield have 21 from 17. We will have a very large away following for this league (2,500). All in all, this game looks more winnable than the Blunts at the Lane.

    I can't make it less than a 33% chance of us winning tomorrow (with the same percentages accorded to Chesterfield and the draw). There is a strong argument that our chance is considerably better than that. Yet Bet365's 3/1 represents a 25% of us winning. This doesn't make us certain winners by any means, but it does mean that due to being underestimated, we are again a serious value bet tomorrow.

    You know what to do!
     
    orsenkaht, Nov 21, 2014
    #1
  2. redarmychris

    redarmychris Well-Known Member

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    That price is unbelievable. We were better than evens against Colchester which again was a price there to be snapped up. They ran us close in the end but I was always confident of a home win. Anyone whos backed singles in our last 3 games stick half your profit on a win tomorrow, some real money to be made whilst we're still mid table.
     
    redarmychris, Nov 21, 2014
    #2
  3. .:Tyke:.

    .:Tyke:. Banned Idiot

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    Penalty taker at 7/2 anytime will always be my bet wile ever he's at that price top goal scorer at 7/2 any time is fantastic value
     
    .:Tyke:., Nov 21, 2014
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  4. Gordon Owen

    Gordon Owen Well-Known Member

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    Lumped on us at 11/8 for a top half finish with BetVictor two weeks ago, much shorter odds now
     
    Gordon Owen, Nov 21, 2014
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  5. man

    mansfield_red Well-Known Member

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    Tarn to win and Hourihane to score first is 25/1. Mental.
     
    mansfield_red, Nov 21, 2014
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  6. 'thereev'

    'thereev' Banned Idiot

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    is it a double star nap Mr O?
     
    'thereev', Nov 21, 2014
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  7. RichK

    RichK Well-Known Member

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    I've taken some of that orsen. Couldn't resist at that price. COYR.
     
    RichK, Nov 21, 2014
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  8. dreamboy3000

    dreamboy3000 Well-Known Member

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    Bet365 are also best price of 17/20 on the handicap market to avoid defeat. In the words of Fredrik Eklund on NYC Million Dollar Real Estate 'Cha Ching'.
     
    dreamboy3000, Nov 21, 2014
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