since 1988-9 when this division went to 24 teams.....................

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board ARCHIVE' started by paul.d, Apr 18, 2013.

  1. pau

    paul.d Well-Known Member

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    23rd place has never gained more than 49 points. It has this year! and 22nd has never gained more than 52 points- I think it will this year!
     
    paul.d, Apr 18, 2013
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  2. Ext

    Extremely Northern Well-Known Member

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    Shows how useless stats are......
     
    Extremely Northern, Apr 18, 2013
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  3. pau

    paul.d Well-Known Member

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    how does it show they are useless?
     
    paul.d, Apr 18, 2013
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  4. Ext

    Extremely Northern Well-Known Member

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    They dunt mean owt !

    Can't predict from them !

    Stats in fact should be made illegal.
     
    Extremely Northern, Apr 18, 2013
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  5. Plankton Pete

    Plankton Pete Well-Known Member

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    Stats tell us about probabilities not certainties. The point Paul's making is how unlikely and therefore unusual this season has been at the bottom.
     
    Plankton Pete, Apr 18, 2013
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  6. Ext

    Extremely Northern Well-Known Member

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    No, he's promised things in the past based on stats. He wants arresting.
     
    Extremely Northern, Apr 18, 2013
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  7. pau

    paul.d Well-Known Member

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    promised????????????? predicted is what I think you mean!
     
    paul.d, Apr 18, 2013
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  8. Ext

    Extremely Northern Well-Known Member

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    No. Promised. You've come on here times many badgering us with your stats that show something will or won't happen. You made no concession that one offs may occur. Behave thissen.
     
    Extremely Northern, Apr 18, 2013
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  9. pau

    paul.d Well-Known Member

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    One offs-statistically outliers - will always occur-but not very often-statistics includes the study of this-I can't help it if you misread or misunderstand statistics- a lot of people have the same problem-It's like people who are frightened of flying because they've seen a crash and yet it's the safest form of transport
     
    paul.d, Apr 18, 2013
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  10. Jay

    Jay Well-Known Member

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    He's winding you up Paul.
     
    Jay, Apr 18, 2013
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  11. pau

    paul.d Well-Known Member

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    not really-some people just don't get it !
     
    paul.d, Apr 18, 2013
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  12. Ext

    Extremely Northern Well-Known Member

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    I get that you are a stat fascist, promising certain outcomes when in fact anything can happen. Boo paul, boo.
     
    Extremely Northern, Apr 18, 2013
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  13. pau

    paul.d Well-Known Member

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    haha-on that note I'll just give up trying to explain
     
    paul.d, Apr 18, 2013
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  14. Sco

    Scoff Well-Known Member

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    I went back about 20 years and only found two teams previously that had been relegated from a 24 team division with more than 50 points. Leicester with 52 from this division and Gillingham with 51 from League One (with one more relegation spot). From that sample, the possibility of a team being relegated from this division (24 teams) with more than 50 points is ~1/60. Although after this season that will fall to ~1/20 (unless we lose all three remaining games in which case it will be 1/30).

    At the start of next season, it will still be unlikely that a team will be relegated with 50 points (although statistically more likely than before the start of this season) but it could happen...
     
    Scoff, Apr 18, 2013
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  15. pau

    paul.d Well-Known Member

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    you have missed Millwall in 95/6 Mick McCarthy left in feb for the Eire job when they were flying high in 9th-they were relegated only on the last day on goals scored with 52 points-the only day of the season they spent in the bottom 3! Walsall in 03/04 went down with 51 pts again from this division.
     
    paul.d, Apr 18, 2013
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