Staying up - the maths...

The season we have left looks like this. We need 37 points from 29 games (1.25 a game - sounds very achievable doesn't it?). This is how I think we could reasonably expect to get those points:</p>

<font size="2">Crystal Palace (a) 3</font></p>

<font size="2">Ipswich (h) 1</font></p>

<font size="2">Southend (h) 3</font></p>

<font size="2">Leeds (a) 1</font></p>

<font size="2">WBA (h) 0</font></p>

<font size="2">Leicester (a) 1</font></p>

<font size="2">QPR (a) 1</font></p>

<font size="2">Burnley (h) 0</font></p>

<font size="2">Sheff Weds (h) 3</font></p>

<font size="2">Wolves (a) 1</font></p>

<font size="2">Preston (h) 0</font></p>

<font size="2">Luton (a) 1</font></p>

<font size="2">QPR (h) 3</font></p>

<font size="2">Cardiff (a) 0</font></p>

<font size="2">Colchester (h) 1</font></p>

<font size="2">Southampton (a) 0</font></p>

<font size="2">Hull (h) 3</font></p>

<font size="2">Stoke (a) 3</font></p>

<font size="2">Norwich (h) 0</font></p>

<font size="2">Sunderland (h) 1</font></p>

<font size="2">Plymouth (a) 0</font></p>

<font size="2">Coventry (a) 1</font></p>

<font size="2">Derby (h) 3</font></p>

<font size="2">Ipswich (a) 1</font></p>

<font size="2">Birmingham (h) 0</font></p>

<font size="2">Southend  (a) 3</font></p>

<font size="2">Crystal  Palace (h) 3</font></p>

<font size="2">Leicester (h) 1</font></p>

<font size="2">WBA (a)  0</font></p>

38 points.</p>

I think it could be that close. Even doing that, I had to put us down for three points I genuinely don't think we can take (for me that was Derby).</p>

 

It'll be interesting. The thing is with predictions this far ahead, you can't really take into account injuries & suspensions affecting either or both teams. I hope you're right in your tally although I suspect there will be games that we win that you've predicted we'll lose & vice versa.

 

Derby?

Derby????????????????????????????

Never.

 

What is certain is that I'm wrong (imagine if it was right!!)

The results won't come in exactly like that, but whatever, I think we'll need fifty-two points by the end of the season, and we only have fifteen now. Doesn't look easy, does it?</p>

 

RE: Derby?

These are the games I think we will lose:</p><font size="2">

WBA (h)</p>

Burnley (h)</p>

Preston (h)</p>

Cardiff (a)</p>

Southampton (a)</p>

Norwich (h)</p>

Plymouth (a)</p>

Derby (h)</p>

Birmingham (h)</p>

WBA (a)</p>

That being said, I think we will probably need three points from one of them.</p></font>

 

It certainly won't be easy

We've just got to hope that we can somehow pull it off.

 

Maths.... (seestars) it don't matter what formation you use ?? end of the day I cant see us going back down !! it'll come good in new year we'll get the points....(pint)

 

I hope so stevie but... is it really about 52 points to stay up?

thats alot is that

 

RE: I hope so stevie but... is it really about 52 points to stay up?

I think so - but what do you think?

 

TBO, i think we can survive just with abit of consistency, least 2 midfelders and nardiello playing.

Even though i still think we can stay up without signings if nards plays and gets them goals we need.</p>

Cos i believe we still are not that good, but i dont believe that some other teams are any better!</p>

 

52 points has.............

only gone down once since 1988-9 when the league went to 24 teams</p>

53 has never gone down</p>