The Masters - The scientific view.

Every winner since the year 2000,

- Made the cut the previous year.
- Top 10 finish at either Pebble Beach or Blue Monster, Doral or Torrey Pines in the same season.
- Aged between 25-39.
- More than one top 10 finish so far this year.

Also,

- Since 1948, nobody has won the Masters without previously winning on tour (so no debut winners)
- 8 of the last 9 winners finished in the Top 25 in the previous years USPGA tournament.
- 13 of the last 14 winners all average more than 290 yards off the tee (it plays like a long course)

Shortlist.

Only one man fits ALL of the above trends, DUSTIN JOHNSON. He's a serial choker and he's just withdrawn after round one this week. But there's no point in doing all this work and then ignoring it. The following people appear in four out of the five lists:

Adam Scott
Rory Mcilroy
Jason Day
Sergio Garcia
Zach Johnson
Jason Dufner
Henrik Stenson
Marc Leishman
Charl Schwartzel
Brandt Snedeker

Can discount some of the above though on other grounds. Rory is too short a price, Day has been injured and hasn't played for a month. Winners rarely go back to back, and Scott is too short anyway. Garcia hasn't got any balls in a tight finish. Dufner isn't in any form at all (he falls down on the stat of not finishing top ten at the tournaments outlined in point two above), same goes for Leishman. That leaves me a short list of:

D Johnson
Z Johnson
H Stenson
C Schwartzel
B Snedeker.

All the above finished in the top 35 last year, all the correct age, all have a top ten finish in either Pebble, Doral or Torrey this year, all have won on the tour before, all finished in top 25 of USPGA last year. Only DJ and ZJ fit all those mentioned, but ZJ doesn't average 290 off the tea.

All are good each way prices.

Good luck.

 

Damn. I've gone for Matt Kuchar.

 

Forget all the that; golfing guru thereev has gone for;

Scotty, did I tell you he was going to win a major years ago? Yes indeedy!!!
Speith
Rory - saver
Cabrera, immelman and Leishman as outsiders.

I know this will help make you all rich!!!!!!!!

 

I normally spread a few quid around on the masters, not a great golf fan so I've followed your method, a bit each way on the 5. I missed your National theory before the race so didn't get the winner, I got 2nd, 3rd and 5th though.

 

I'm not sure what [MENTION=54096]'thereev'[/MENTION] will make of this but I can make an educated guess. I reckon he will be double napping Adam Scott at some point.

 

I posted this over an hour ago so why is it showing as being posted just a minute ago. Very strange.

 

Fonzie - Enjoyed your post on the National on Saturday and liking the write ups you are providing. Any chance I can copy & post your write ups on My Sports Diary App Facebook page?

Happy to provide you with the acknowledgement for the piece?

 

Course you can mate, no problems.

 

Much appreciated