Bet365 go: Barnsley 10/11 [52%] Blackpool 16/5 [24%] Draw 11/4 [27%] Overround = 103% approx. Barnsley (home) have won have won 3/11 [27%] and drawn 2/11 [18%] Blackpool (away) have won 2/11 [18%] and drawn 2/11 [18%] If my brain is functioning at this early hour, it looks on the face of it that the odds for all three outcomes seem to over-estimate the chances of them actually happening! Potential negatives for Barnsley are the absence of Scowen, the rumoured loss of Hourihane (questionable rumour on here, but 'softening-up' comments by Johnson in last week's Chronicle) and the potential 'last chance saloon' factor (questionable rumoured Facebook post by PC) for Johnson. All in all, this is a classic 'NO BET' match for me. Of far more interest is the following threesome (probably the nearest to a 'threesome' I'll ever get): Blue Rambler 11.55 Catterick Arctic Fire 1.55 Leopardstown Renounce 3.30 Lingfield Happy New Year to all!
There has do be some kind of result so I don't think you can overestimate the chances of each happening. Barnsley win (Blackpool loss): 27% (64%) Barnsley draw (Blackpool draw): 18% (18%) Barnsley loss (Blackpool win): 55% (18%) Based on those figures alone and taking the mean percentage in each case, the likelihood of each result is: Win: 45.5% Draw: 18% Loss: 36.5% Lump on Blackpool!
