Why I am not too concerned about yesterdays result

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board ARCHIVE' started by Bobby, Feb 24, 2013.

  1. Bob

    Bobby New Member

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    Before our run, we were 'little old Barnsley' and teams would expect to beat us and give us no respect. Ufortunately, after our run others teams would be starting to notice.After conceding 5, hopefully we will be back to 'little old barnsley who just had a lucky run' and other teams wil just expect to turnup and beat us.


    Before the last 4 games I'd have snatched your hand off for 7 points (happy with 6). We got 9 !

    I think i would prefer losing yesterday, Huddersfield drawing and Wolves losing, rather than us getting a draw and the other two winning.


    Assuming we can get 52 points, Bristol City and Wolves now have to hit playoff form to hit that target. Havent checked, but i dont imagine Bristol City have had a 12 match run that has got them 18 points during the last few years. Similarly, I dont see any reason why Wolves would suddenly hit play off form.

    Really hoping that Huddersfield lose their next two games (both away i beleive) and Wolves dont beat Watford.

    Looking at oddschecker we are still out of the bottom 3 for relegation and only slightly shorter than Huddersfield. If Huddersfield lose on Tuesday I can see their odds being shorter than ours. And there is the 'Barnsley factor' to consider - Bookies always seem to underestimate our chances and our odds would probably shorter than any other team in the same position. So the fact that bookies have us avoiding the drop gives me heart.
     
  2. tosh

    tosh Well-Known Member

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    I always thought that the bookies odds came from people betting, not what they themselves believe. Surely the only time that applies is when they first set the odds.
     
  3. Bob

    Bobby New Member

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    In theory YES

    Perhaps what i should have said is 'other peoples perception' ratherthan bookies. The majority seem to underestimate us, resulting in odds suggesting that we will do poorly, supported by tthe fact that despite avoiding relegation so many times, we are constantly favourites at the start of the following season
     

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