With Sporting Index you can back us to get more than 53.5 points next season, this has got to be the bet to beat all bets.
Is it spread betting? If so isn't it possible to lose quite a large amount? I don't know much about it so correct me if I'm wrong, but don't you have to tie up quite a large amount of cash for the whole season to prove you can pay if you lose?
Except with spread betting if we don't get 54 points it could get very expensive by the end of the season...
say you back us to get more than 53.5 points at £5 per point and we finish up with say 60 points, you collect 6 and a half fivers you win £32.50. IF we finish up with 50 points we lose 3 and a half fivers £ 17.50. you pick your own stake £1 £5 £10 £20 whatever. you open an accounnt and they give you a credit limit, you don't pay anything out to start with, you just settle your bet at the ene of the season. Hope this makes sense.
Mmm, seems like easy money, but I don't like gambling any more than I can afford to lose and, whilst I fully expect us to get more than 60 points, there is, however unlikely, the chance that we could lose every match and go into administration, finishing on minus 10 points!
OK, cheers. I am quite sure like you that we will finish on more than 53.5 points. But in order to win a decent amount, I would need to back us to the tune of at least 50 quid a point. If something then goes pear shaped and we finish on 40 for instance, that could be a very expensive loss! Risky!
I agree it's a risk and things go wrong but if you honestly believe we have a better set-up than last season i think it's a risk worth taking. By the way i have backed us at £20 a point.
What are the odds on us avoiding relegation? Given the bookies have been wrong 8 seasons running surely it's worth a bet?
I wonder how many Bristol City fans were saying the same at the start of last season! Seriously though, twenty quid a point isn't too much of a risk. Assuming no-one ever finishes on less than 40, that's a maximum loss of around 260 quid. If you assume that the most we're likely to get is around 70, then a potential win of 350 quid or so. Not exactly a life changing amount for a potential loss which is relatively big.
Been looking at some bets this morning: Top half finish 6/1 - Bet Victor To stay up 1/3 - Bet Victor Top SY Club 15/8 - Bet Victor Group F winners (Hudders, Barnsley, Donny & Yeovil) BFC 13/5 - Stan James Handicap +30 18/1 - Bet365
Although the bookies think we're one of the likeliest teams to go down it doesn't necessarily mean that we also have to be more likely to go down than not.
I presume it's because it's statistically far more likely that any team, even Yeovil, will stay up than go down. Even without taking form, squads into account, there's only a one in eight chance that a team will get relegated. The same works in reverse for promotion, which is why nobody is evens or odds on to go up. I'm just guessing by the way, I'm no expert in risk assessment!