Xg....Question

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board' started by WG Red, Aug 25, 2025 at 7:48 AM.

  1. WG Red

    WG Red Well-Known Member

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    I’ve never been a fan of this particular stat as I think there are too many variables in what is classed as a goal scoring chance.
    If anyone is an expert of this stat can they please tell me how Coventry scored 7 goals on Saturday yet had an Xg of only 1.1?
    I for one am baffled.
     
  2. dreamboy3000

    dreamboy3000 Well-Known Member

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  3. onemickybutler

    onemickybutler Well-Known Member

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    Utterly bonkers. Someone will be along soon to tell us it’s simple…..;)
     
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  4. Azisprite

    Azisprite Well-Known Member

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    Simply put, they use data from across the world to determine the liklihood of a player scoring a similar chance.

    So for Coventry, the goals they scored were more difficult to convert so resulted in a low expected goal, but high actual goal.

    I lost my **** with Sormaz when he tried to use XG to defend Watters. If his expected goals we're higher than actual goals, it means he lacks the quality and composure required to put easy chances away.
     
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  5. Skryptic

    Skryptic Well-Known Member

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    The same way that the odds of winning the lottery are 1 in 45 million yet people still win.
     
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  6. AthersleyRed

    AthersleyRed Well-Known Member

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    Just a new obscure stat that doesn't add to any entertainment factor, so Garth Crooks & co can keep their job.
     
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  7. In4

    In4reds Well-Known Member

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    Old Mladen got plenty wrong but don't think you can lay that one at his door. I'm sure that was Neerav, now i think he's decent bloke but what he knows about professional football you could write on the back of a postage stamp. It was the infamous top 3 squad and at least 5 championship standard players car crash interview. I hope all concerned have learnt the lesson a little knowledge can be a bad thing and dont ever put Neerav in front of microphone talking about on field matters.
     
  8. Jud

    Juddy G Well-Known Member

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    Non binary makes more sense or is easier than understand
     
  9. Azisprite

    Azisprite Well-Known Member

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    I know Nareev said it in that 'golden' top 4 squad interview of his, but then I read or watched Sormaz justifying that comment and that's what boiled my piss. Nareev isn't the statatition. Mladen was meant to be and that's why it irked me to comment at the time.
     
  10. RichK

    RichK Well-Known Member

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    Garth Crooks? Lol. Not seen him on owt for years, thankfully.
     

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