Colliers v Hatters matchday thread

To be fair @Jay is the one that explained it to me!

 

As I said I didn’t think it was the best angle but looked a close call. No issues with Dike missing but how we got so bent out of shape so quickly was more concerning. Thankfully got away with it in the end.

 

Probably the first, and only time, all game that the defensive line wasn't a line, with Andersen not pushing up as fast as the others.

Was only when I saw the replay that I realised actually how much time there was between the save and the goal, with Halme actually having a chance to clear. Also, if Helik doesn't go for the rebound, I think Dike smashes it in, they seemed to both hesitate for a second.

 

Update on our promotion chances according the the fivethirtyeight.com. Now have an 85% chance of making the playoffs and a 23% chance of getting promoted.
Based on this, we're the 4th most likely team to get promoted to the Premier League this year.

 

I guess statistically, their increased chance of finishing in the top two decreases their probability of finishing in the play offs

 

Automatics being factored in?

 

That's how I understand it.
That's why Norwich have a less than 1% chance of making the play offs, because they're nailed on for top 2.

 

Brentford have a reasonable chance to go up automatically still so their chance of finishing in positions 3-6 is reduced as they might finish 2nd. This will obviously make it more likely they get promoted.