York Ebor Meeting

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board' started by orsenkaht, Aug 23, 2023.

  1. orsenkaht

    orsenkaht Well-Known Member

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    I like Rab a lot as a jockey, but I wish Frankie had been on Sweet William! Heigh ho! No complaints on the day, with Kinross going in as well as the Newmarket pick I mentioned, Ebn Shaddad. Frankie's ride on Absurde was insanely good. The first two jockeys home had a combined age of 101! You really do wonder whether Frankie can stick to the retirement plan when he is riding like he has done this week. His fitness is unbelievable for a man of his age. I can't say I've made fortunes this week, but I sure have enjoyed the meeting. Best flat course in the country, for my money - and the best-run course too. Doncaster St Leger Meeting next up, with a new Thursday to Sunday schedule. Bring it on!
     
  2. x11barnsley

    x11barnsley Well-Known Member

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  3. orsenkaht

    orsenkaht Well-Known Member

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    I don't fancy his chances of getting bets on there again!
     
  4. Winker

    Winker Well-Known Member

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    Betting big money like that you'd av an account surely, Chineese are the only ones i see generally with big wads.Goes to show my Tenner allowance
     
    Last edited: Aug 27, 2023
  5. dreamboy3000

    dreamboy3000 Well-Known Member

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  6. KamikazeCo-Pilot

    KamikazeCo-Pilot Well-Known Member

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  7. Winker

    Winker Well-Known Member

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    Another day out at Ripon races just aving a pint an a burger, waiting for Another Batt in the 4.10, an its all for knowt thanks Man City.
     
  8. x11barnsley

    x11barnsley Well-Known Member

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  9. orsenkaht

    orsenkaht Well-Known Member

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    I'm at the form way before 6.30 am!
     
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  10. x11barnsley

    x11barnsley Well-Known Member

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    And you obviously take a great interest and enjoyment
     
  11. Winker

    Winker Well-Known Member

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    An enjoy your imput, keep up the goodwork, on our way back from Ripon, aving a pi55 stop at Stamford bridge
     
  12. dreamboy3000

    dreamboy3000 Well-Known Member

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    Think you've gone the wrong way home pal if you've ended up in West London :D Hope you had some winners.
     
  13. KamikazeCo-Pilot

    KamikazeCo-Pilot Well-Known Member

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    D'oh! :)
     
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  14. orsenkaht

    orsenkaht Well-Known Member

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    Indeed I do, x11! I've followed racing for many decades. Throughout life's trials and tribulations I believe it's what has kept me sane - although some would doubt that! As a matter of fact, I've just checked the time I posted my thoughts on each day of the York Meeting:

    Weds 5.48am
    Thurs 6.02am
    Fri 6.42am (late!)
    Sat 6.21am

    Bonkers, eh? I'd never claim my selections make fellow BBS'ers any money, but I like to share my thoughts, especially if it sparks debate on the day's races and the merits of the participants. Racing has been called "the great triviality"; but it can also be a lot of fun!
     
  15. x11barnsley

    x11barnsley Well-Known Member

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    Good man.
    I was at Southport last week and came across this painted gable end near the centre.
    It really impressed me but not so much my wife Image1693253286.799459.jpg
     
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  16. Stephen Dawson

    Stephen Dawson Well-Known Member

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    Has your other half pissed off too? The tw@t
     
  17. orsenkaht

    orsenkaht Well-Known Member

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    Oh dear, Mr Dawson! Four weeks today we celebrate 42 years of wedlock!

    I refer you to the Rules at post #51 ! :D:D:D
     
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  18. KamikazeCo-Pilot

    KamikazeCo-Pilot Well-Known Member

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    On a separate issue Mr Kaht, and seeing as you are frequently studying form, why not post a 'tip of the day' if you spot anything worth a mention during the week rather than waiting for big meetings? Would give people chance to contribute.
     
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  19. orsenkaht

    orsenkaht Well-Known Member

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    It's an interesting thought, Mr KCP but I think there are certain practicalities. I do tend to post if I think I've turned up something special on an 'ordinary' day's racing. But I think to do it too often might give some folk the wrong expectations. I'm very happy if 33% of my selections win*, as I try and achieve better than an average 2/1 in terms of the price of my winners. That way lies profit. But it must follow that 67% of my selections may lose - then people think I'm crap! (Or they bet too much on my poor thoughts)

    Another problem is this. Today at Newbury I'm following Star Music in the 2.00 (best price now is 4/1) and Mediaeval Gold and Sailing On in the 4.15 (best prices now 11/2 and 4/1 respectively). But when I backed them yesterday, all three were longer prices. So it's difficult for me to recommend them as 'value' bets when I know I'm on at longer. This is especially so where I am backing more than one horse in a race. (Bear in mind that all three selections may be part of the 67%, not part of the 33%!) Most days you need to pounce on the price at final declarations stage, which is 48 hours before the race.

    *Since the start of 2013, my overall win strike rate has been 31.3%. Happily, the average price of my winners has equaled 30.5%. So while my strike rate suggests I should have got an average price for my winners of 3.19/1, I actually achieved 3.27/1. Not a huge difference, you might think. But across thousands of bets over an 11-year period, it makes a crucial difference! I don't know that people seeing me put up a tip of the day would appreciate those nuances! But aside from the maths is the fascinating (to me) study of form lines, breeding, different course configurations and trainer/jockey form, etc, etc. All very nice to muse over when you don't have work to bother about!
     
  20. KamikazeCo-Pilot

    KamikazeCo-Pilot Well-Known Member

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    I see what you're saying about peoples' expectations. People do assume a decent tipster will constantly give them winning tips when logically it's impossible to do so. Even worse when there's a losing run as happens to us all. perhaps you're right not to post overall
     
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