It's worth having one with as many as possible to not miss anything. Although Brazil was a good one to miss.
So it's evens England to win in 90 minutes with Sky Bet. Betfair have evens for Maguire to commit a foul. The 2/1 for him and Davies to commit one each came in the other night. I suspect an hour or so before kick off Bet 365 will pop one up.
Yeah I was on that and Paddy Power 5/2 for Messi to have a SOT in both halves which came in. I wouldn't bother with the Paddy Power offer for Kane to have two shots on target when he's had zero from the first three games.
So as long as England win in 90 minutes, Kane gets a shot on target and Maguire gives away a free kick I will be happy
That's the wrong way of looking at it. If I offered you a coin toss - your 50p against a million quid from me (pretending I have a million quid) and you lost, then it doesn't suddenly become a bad value bet, and you can't say it was the wrong decision to take it. There is obviously a question about whether odds offered by bookies do represent value - they generally won't as bookies make money. However the boosts that are offered to lure people in generally do offer good value. The fact that one doesn't come in doesn't mean it was bad value or a poor bet - over the long run if you can identify and back value bets you'll come out a winner.