How many seats will Reform get do you think or is a total………

Wouldnt av a clue, but i'll av a guess abart 150 cos mi mate sez, an Labour will win followed by Reform, an Libs, an Coservatives.

 

I’m not much of a gambler, but I would wager that it would be closer to my prediction of between 5-8, against your 80. Not expecting a reply here.

 

I used to live on the Isle of Axholme in Epworth.
Between Hatfield and Scunthorpe, roughly. The flatlands that were drained by Vermuyden in the 1600s including Epworth, Belton, and areas around Wroot.
Quite a dreary area, featureless, flat, a bit like the fens but smaller.

 

Latest polling data from Clacton…

REF - 30.73%
CON - 29.44%
LAB - 27.59%
GREEN - 6.19%
LIBDEM - 4.77%

The Tories and Labour need to strike a deal to defeat the self-serving fascist chancer

 

Starmer keeps telling us it's 'country before party' so Labour should stand down in Clacton.

They won't because they actually want to appeal to those with Reform voting tendencies.

 

Hopefully they will get none.

 

Some of their manifesto is good tbh but they all talk a good one until they get In power. Not keen on farage though.

 

Is there enough independent candidate support to split the labour vote in constituencies with high Pakistani populations and let reform in? That would be ironic.....

 

30p Lee will get back in. More parties than Elton John that fella

 

Its going to depend how these last 2 weeks go but I think they could get close to double figures. You've places like Rochester and Yarmouth I could easily see voting that way. Areas "left behind" in the red wall I could see picking up a few too. And obviously places in South Yorkshire that for several elections had tory and ukip/bxp/reform vote stacked would have been the majority winner.

If Sunak can look a bit less stupid and desperate the tories may scrape a few extra votes right at the death as life long tendencies kick in. I don't think your typical blue wall will take a look at Reform. Theres been a significant shift since 2016 where the south have significant numbers of remain voters who are conservative in nature which rails against this populist bunch of liars in government. Centrist one nationers . As the tories lurch ever right, they lose that vote and labour and lib dems will pick it up.

Labour will win. But by how much is still up for grabs.

 

None or one. And lots of Proportional Representation enthusiasts will suddenly experience significant memory loss.

 

The Reform manifesto has more holes than our defence last season...

Apart from the budget hole double the size of Liz Truss's (and made by the same people), the great idea to reduce NHS waiting lists within 2 years is to train more doctors (which takes 5 years) or use private (who are the same people that work for the NHS) and to give them a tax cut. Oh, and Ben Habib (an immigrant) was complaining about immigrants taking up too much of the NHS - not realising that a big chunk of those voting for him want to deport him.

 

Buffoons, one and all. At least as useful idiots they will help unseat Sunak and his band of chancers.

 

Have you seen the polling in his Ashfield constituency? It doesn’t just look like he’ll win, he’s on course for a huge majority. Surprising to me

 

I've been for it all my life. I'm having serious doubts now.

 

I do feel, if the Tories didn't stand, a Barnsley constituency could well be one of 1 seat to them. Likewise, elsewhere in the country.

 

His seat is in the middle of scab country no surprise it finally went Tory and will now go further right all Maggie's children down there scabbing bar stewards

 

That's exactly how I look at Farage but the risk of a useful idiot is that he will enflame idiots nationally and emboldened them to act like our American cousins. I'm all for the destruction of the Tories but I'd much prefer it be because the center and the left are talking to the country and offering to tangibly change and repair the damage of the last 14 years.

 

Let them get elected first.