How out of touch can the prime minister be?

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board' started by SuperTyke, Feb 10, 2021.

  1. orsenkaht

    orsenkaht Well-Known Member

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    Clap for the NHS, clap for Captain Tom, support the Government who got Brexit done! That's what we all wanted, innit?
     
  2. Hooky feller

    Hooky feller Well-Known Member

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    Doesn't need data accurate to the endth degree. Just seeing how its affected our doctors and nurses this morning on TV is enough for me. PTSD. Ain't the half of it. Some staff working non stop days/weeks on end. Nothing like they've encountered to such a degree before.
     
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  3. Loko the Tyke

    Loko the Tyke Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    Find this as alarming as the lack of demand for a clear report or account of the truth and data.

    There isn't anyone who doesn't have sympathy for those hospital staff. Nobody. But where's the sympathy for the business owners destroyed by a lockdown not backed up in data? What about those who were in hospital because of lockdown? The soaring unemployment? The maxed out credit cards? The house of cards waiting to fall on a million plus families?

    There's no one version of the truth here in terms of being 100% right, but to suggest that accurate data and reporting shouldn't be an unconditional demand of the media and the government is one of the strangest takes I've seen yet. Granted not quite up there with conspiracy theories and 'non existence' claims.
     
    Last edited: Feb 10, 2021
  4. Hooky feller

    Hooky feller Well-Known Member

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    Wasn't my point mate. There are tragic consequences as you rightly say. Ultimately people are still dying and will continue to do so. When we come out of lockdown, It will be the irresponsible who may put us back there. Be it this shower of ***** or individuals not taking basic precautions.
     
  5. Hooky feller

    Hooky feller Well-Known Member

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    Not saying the sympathy ain't there loko. But until we get the death rate down to an acceptable rate (preferably 0) and not rise again. Then further lockdowns won't be necessary.

    For some To say this must be the last one and if death rates rise to an unacceptable level again. We live life as normal. cannot be an excuse not to take similar measures
    till
    The population have to learn to live with this for yrs (if scientists are right.) It would be prudent to take measures until it's safe not to.

    These clowns have not only mismanaged. but put us on a longer timescale than necessary and could have been avoided.

    Everyone keeps harping on about holidays this summer. Yet we may be the only country to be anywhere near ready to travel. As someone else mentioned. Israel may be the only destination outside the uk.

    Having the vaccine does not make us immune from the disease. And stop us passing it on. What other country is prepared to take that risk.

    Someone said the death rates were not abnormal between June and January.
    Due to restrictions throughout that period suggest covid replaced other causes. According to reports at the time. ?
     
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  6. Fon

    Fonzie Well-Known Member

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    Never mind.
     
    Last edited: Feb 11, 2021
  7. Loko the Tyke

    Loko the Tyke Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    I think I'd already answered this within the original message or the reply. Let me know if not though.
     
  8. Fon

    Fonzie Well-Known Member

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    No worries mate - I didn't see it at first.

    Cheers.
     
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  9. wak

    wakeyred Well-Known Member

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    Read an interesting article in this weeks Economist which contrasted the fortunes of California and Texas - given they are the two largest states with 1/5 of the entire US population and have very different approaches to lockdown. Texas reopened even before Trump had suggested it, Texan schools have remained open since the autumn unlike in California where they remain largely closed and the state in lockdown. Despite these contrasting approach the death rates are not that different. Texas has 127 per 100k and California has 104 per 100k.
    most public health experts agree Texas came out of lockdown too quick and led to many unnecessary deaths. Yet California has shown the limitations of long lasting, intermittent lockdowns - despite the never ending lockdowns in California they are still experiencing their highest death rates ever.
    “As has been shown by the recent surge in California, the virus often wins no matter what you try and do as a government.” Says Larry Levitt of the Kaiser Family Foundation.
     
  10. Plankton Pete

    Plankton Pete Well-Known Member

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    Population density of California ~250 per square mile, Texas 100 per square mile. As Loko indicated it's possible to dress up stats however you want, given a specific motive. By tbe way I'd say a 25% greater death rate is possibly significant, however I'd have to do the appropriate stats tp verify that.

    I think the whole lock down versus open everything is far more nuanced than most of us realise. It's some shade of grey rather than the black or white we'd like it to be.
     
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  11. Loko the Tyke

    Loko the Tyke Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    There's a reason hundreds of thousands of people and businesses have fled California in 2020 for places like Texas and Florida.

    The draconian approach to dealing with the pandemic in California, coupled with the fact they've had the worst results on dealing with Covid, has them 'leading' in how not to deal with a pandemic. You might sight population density, but particular in the Bay Area it's been so easy for everyone in tech to work from home and shield that lockdown should have driven cases and deaths down far more significantly if it was the proven strategy that everyone says it is.

    Florida have had nine consecutive months of jobs growth. They've got an aging and susceptible demographic. And they've had to deal with the influx of people moving from New York to live there or move their business there.
     
  12. wak

    wakeyred Well-Known Member

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    Agreed, and population density is also a very dodgy “fact” as well to use. Personally I would say a 25% difference in deaths is disappointing given the damage lockdown causes.
     
  13. Sco

    Scoff Well-Known Member

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    California is currently under a more relaxed lockdown than the UK. Barbers/hairdressers and outdoors swimming pools are open along with a fair number of businesses - and even churches with some capacity restrictions. It had tighter restrictions while ICU beds availability was under 15% but this was lifted 25/1.

    TBF, we'd need to see it on a county by county basis (or even smaller areas). There are massive differences in population density, ethnic diversity, relative prosperity, health insurance coverage, etc between South Central LA and Modoc County. Modoc was just a county in the northeast of the state picked at random.

    LA might have a lot of rich people, but it has a hell of a lot of poor too - over 40000 are homeless - and plenty of other social problems. San Francisco has only had 350 Covid deaths, Santa Clara 1600, Alameda County (Oakland) 1000 - these are where the tech companies are based with their more affluent employees who can WFH.

    This is good - from https://www.latimes.com/projects/california-coronavirus-cases-tracking-outbreak/

    upload_2021-2-11_12-3-56.png

    Most deaths are in LA, Orange County, San Diego and Riverside.

    California is also roughly twice the size of the UK.
     
  14. Loko the Tyke

    Loko the Tyke Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    This is only recently though. I was in California when their latest lockdown hit and the anger towards Gavin Newsom is far greater than we're seeing towards Boris Johnson here for lockdown. Lifting of lockdown came late, no explanation as to why, refusal to share any strategy information. The businesses that are completely boarded up, keys handed back, etc. Homelessness that was already out of control clearly on the verge of getting worse.

    The state is in a mess with their only 'brag' being about how many billionaires they've still got as a response to why businesses are fleeing and their net tax income dropping like a stone. Not sure you're exactly right on Alameda County being a high area for tech but Santa Clara/San Jose is as it homes Silicon Valley.

    3,000 deaths in San Diego County for a population of over 3 million. Remembering that Covid isn't always the cause of death, just there as evidence of a positive death, and it supports how people in San Diego feel about lockdowns being forced on them from LA and San Francisco.
     

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