Can’t say I’m surprised, a colleague of mine lives just outside and works in Newark area, he said at time of shut down Newark areas were like ghost towns but Leicester was carrying on like nothing happened I. Terms of social distancing etc.
Unfortunately, pillar 1 tests now only reflects a small minority of tests carried out. Vast majority of positive cases are being found in pillar 2 tests, where reporting has been poor.
Last data I saw (yesterday) was two weeks old - that is the timescales for calculation. Only the East of England and Northwest were decreasing - and London, Southwest and NI were above 1.
I live in Leicester city centre and I must admit, from about May onwards, there were ALWAYS groups of lads playing football or cricket at the local park. Most of the time it was lads of Indian subcontinent heritage or African/Caribbean heritage - I'm probably one of the more left-leaning people on here but I saw it with my own eyes. Many of them will have gone back to multi-generation households after. I'm not surprised in the slightest that there's been a spike here. I'm only confused as to why it hasn't apparently happened anywhere else. We can't be the only city with lots of people flouting the rules.
Doncaster is the next highest after Leicester apparently. https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/doncaster-next-town-risk-leicester-22278112
Am I reading those graphs wrong or does it say that east east midlands as a total area has had a maximum of 40 new cases (pillar 1 and 2) per week at its peak and is now around 20 but Leicester which is in the east midlands has over 60 a day?
Why concentrate on Pillar 1? Two thirds of the infections have been identified from Pillar 2 tests (drive through and home kits).
Understand the Government have a list of thirty towns and cities that potentially might have to undergo a second lockdown and are monitoring them on a daily basis. Doncaster is apparently on that list, as is Wakefield.
Given the collapse in social distancing or the entry system into supermarkets around here this week, expect Barnsley to appear in the league table soon. Both Lidl and Tesco (Wath) are just allowing everybody in (no queuing) and Lidl no longer had the bread packaged ready to go.
You could be right Scoff. It will be interesting to see what effect the decision to open the pubs up again will have on the figures. Whilst welcomed by many, there seems to be a feeling of trepidation amongst the so called " experts".
I couldn't claim to know to be honest. The main point of that twitter thread, and my post is that interpreting pillar 1 only data can be very misleading. The data reporting related to testing has been shambolic. Local councils can't see a full picture of what is happening, no reporting of # people tested, and no end to end reporting for test and trace that would give a success rate.
No queue yesterday. I don't remember seeing anyone stopping people entering either. It also seemed busier than it has been previously. Enough to make me uncomfortable about going again. It might just be bad timing on my point (arriving during staff changeover or toilet break), but two supermarkets in 3 days relaxing their standards isn't a good sign.
It might be that they had just taken their eye off the ball ..they seem to make a judgment on the length of the queues at the tills, I went the week before and it looked as though I could walk straight in, but was stopped until they'd counted around 50 people out.
Youre absolutely right...hardly anyone seems to be picking this up, but as I see it the Council are in the best position to be able to use the testing info, but they aren't being told. It's not shambolic, in the sense that it's a series of cockups or incompetent people...It's GDPR that is preventing information being shared effectively. Until it is suspended or ignored things won't improve...or certainly anywhere near as quickly as they could.