Prediction Time - Labour Seats

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board' started by MDG, Jul 3, 2024 at 1:02 PM.

  1. John Peachy

    John Peachy Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 21, 2011
    Messages:
    16,949
    Likes Received:
    16,330
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    The littlest hobo
    Location:
    Leeds, United Kingdom
    Home Page:
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    I see your point. Brilliantly put TBH.
     
    wombwell-red likes this.
  2. Marc

    Marc Administrator Staff Member Admin

    Joined:
    Aug 10, 2012
    Messages:
    27,310
    Likes Received:
    21,095
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    How? Genuine question, not having a go. I just haven't seen a single election forecast that even has them in double figures, so I'm curious about how you've got to 104. That would be seismic.
     
    Winker likes this.
  3. Dja

    Django Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 28, 2013
    Messages:
    10,906
    Likes Received:
    7,514
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    I haven’t got a clue what to predict. Everyone seems to hate the Tories but I don’t hear much enthusiasm for Labour either.

    I’ve heard plenty of people saying they’re voting Reform but when push comes to shove most tend to vote Labour or Tory in a general election.

    I’ll go 391 with a low turnout.
     
  4. Winker

    Winker Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 3, 2017
    Messages:
    3,186
    Likes Received:
    2,580
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    RETIRED AND LOVING IT
    Location:
    Bridlington
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    Just a guess, i was just aving a go on the thread, trying to find out how many seats Labour would get an thats what i got to 272 labour an the rest shared out with the percentage count.
     
  5. MDG

    MDG Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2005
    Messages:
    5,265
    Likes Received:
    3,735
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Darton
    Home Page:
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    I reckon now that Reform will end up with 4 seats.

    Farage will be one of those in Clacton, his vote share will have gone up now the Labour candidates twitter history got unveiled and he tweeted about white mans tears being his favourite drink. Dear me. Again, where are these so called vetting systems for candidates.
     
  6. Fon

    Fonzie Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 18, 2012
    Messages:
    8,444
    Likes Received:
    14,244
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    You do realise that the term "white man's tears" is a response to the constant racism he'd faced from said white men. He wasn't referring to your Average Joe - just those who'd racially abused him throughout his life.

    The same as Anthony Joshua the other year when he said don't shop in "their" shops. This was latched onto by the usual suspects as a racist slur, when in reality it was referring to the racists as "their".

    Numpty Nigel will still be voted in though I reckon. It'll be interesting when he actually has to do a day's work.
     
  7. MDG

    MDG Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2005
    Messages:
    5,265
    Likes Received:
    3,735
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Darton
    Home Page:
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    Whatever he meant and as with any comment, he should be more careful with his words or add context to that effect. It's very easy to try and justify something after the event!
     
  8. AthersleyRed

    AthersleyRed Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 11, 2011
    Messages:
    5,286
    Likes Received:
    3,395
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    More interestingly, how many Tory candidates are going to be crying in sports halls? :D

    ... I'll go with none, as you actually have to be a sentient being to cry.
     
  9. Fon

    Fonzie Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 18, 2012
    Messages:
    8,444
    Likes Received:
    14,244
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    He only had to justify it when the Right Wing Grift latched onto it

    But yes, I agree with your general point about being careful.
     
  10. MDG

    MDG Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2005
    Messages:
    5,265
    Likes Received:
    3,735
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Darton
    Home Page:
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    Isn't that the case for anyone that has said something that looks off though. You only have to scramble to justify it when someone picks you up on it.
     
  11. exiled

    exiled Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 1, 2006
    Messages:
    7,683
    Likes Received:
    7,433
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Melton Mowbray.....Pies n Cheese.
    Home Page:
    Style:
    Barnsley
    I'd bet the house on Reform being closer to 4 seats than 104.
     
  12. Fon

    Fonzie Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 18, 2012
    Messages:
    8,444
    Likes Received:
    14,244
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    Sorry I edited my original post.
     
    MDG likes this.
  13. exiled

    exiled Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 1, 2006
    Messages:
    7,683
    Likes Received:
    7,433
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Melton Mowbray.....Pies n Cheese.
    Home Page:
    Style:
    Barnsley
    429 with the torys on less than 100.
     
    stairfoot.red and Winker like this.
  14. BarnsleyReds

    BarnsleyReds Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 28, 2013
    Messages:
    11,563
    Likes Received:
    13,477
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Style:
    XenForo - Xenith Reds
    Labour 467

    With Lib dems as opposition on 73

    Tories 63

    Reform Ltd 6
     
    jjsmiff and ade like this.
  15. Winker

    Winker Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 3, 2017
    Messages:
    3,186
    Likes Received:
    2,580
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    RETIRED AND LOVING IT
    Location:
    Bridlington
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    I'd bet the Labour seats'll be nearer 272 than 429, its my prediction right or wrong i'm not aving a vote, we'll find out in 18 hrs ish
     
  16. exiled

    exiled Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 1, 2006
    Messages:
    7,683
    Likes Received:
    7,433
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Melton Mowbray.....Pies n Cheese.
    Home Page:
    Style:
    Barnsley
    Really? I'll happily take your money :D
     
    Winker likes this.
  17. BarnsleyReds

    BarnsleyReds Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 28, 2013
    Messages:
    11,563
    Likes Received:
    13,477
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Style:
    XenForo - Xenith Reds
    Do you understand how our elections work? Rightly or wrongly total vote % doesn’t matter. Lib dems could easily have 12% to reform’s 20% of the vote and Lib Dems could end up on 10x as many seats.
     
    Winker likes this.
  18. stairfoot.red

    stairfoot.red Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 5, 2008
    Messages:
    3,090
    Likes Received:
    5,688
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Gender:
    Male
    Occupation:
    Computer Engineer
    Location:
    Stairfoot
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    Alot more than Richy boys rabble with Spivy Nige doing the big cry baby they stole the election lies like the big cry baby over the pond did.
     
  19. Winker

    Winker Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 3, 2017
    Messages:
    3,186
    Likes Received:
    2,580
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    RETIRED AND LOVING IT
    Location:
    Bridlington
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    Just joining in an trying to understand whats happening aving an input an clearing some things up i just dont know nowt about, but thanks for your reply no i didnt understand that, thankyou.
     
  20. MDG

    MDG Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2005
    Messages:
    5,265
    Likes Received:
    3,735
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Darton
    Home Page:
    Style:
    Barnsley (full width)
    Candidate for the Yorkshire Party in Sunaks constituency. His name is 'Rio Goldhammer'.

    Ha, he has to beat Sunak.
     

Share This Page