Relegation cut off: 52 points

BFC Dave · Mar 27, 2009

Whoa, just a sec there's a flaw in the logic

... if the cut off is 48 then Donnie can't be pulled into it as they're already on 49.

No, no need to thank me , my pleasure !! (ahem)

Gordon Owen · Mar 27, 2009

Agree with you there Paul.d nt

S.M. · Mar 27, 2009

Forest, Soton and Norwich will get 49 at least

check their remaining games. No way will 48 stay up.

Gordon Owen · Mar 27, 2009

You read it wrong

i meant pulled down into the relegation scrap eg back into the bottom six and nippy bum time, they wont drop into the bottom 3.

Gordon Owen · Mar 27, 2009

Forest wont get 49, they're ****.

Their fans are on their backs more than our lot. Bristol C, Sheff U they will get nothing, Coventry..possible points, then against two relegation rivals? they have the worst current form in the division too, not good going into a relegation battle.

D/T · Mar 27, 2009

i think from sheff utd and reading we'll get at least two points

Gordon Owen · Mar 27, 2009

We'll pull a surprise out of one of the away games and....

by the time the final league table is printed we will be two wins away from the relegation places due to the teams being absolutely shocking below us and not picking much up in the run in, we'll wonder what the fuss was all about.

Here's hoping three **** teams come up next year (raiseaglass)

S.M. · Mar 27, 2009

Well if they beat us

they might. Just that.

acton_red · Mar 27, 2009

Forest, Soton and Norwich wont go down they are big clubs nt

D/T · Mar 27, 2009

we'll win at one of either sufc or reading.

Gordon Owen · Mar 27, 2009

Big "IF"

their confidence is rock bottom and reading some threads on their boards their lot already think they're doomed, they're complaining about signing Blackstock saying they need a defence, JCR, Hammill & Mifsud will cause problems, Boggy won't because the natural 6ft goalscorer will be on the wing crossing for the 5ft midget.

I know we slipped up against Saints, Blackpool etc.. but with a fully fit squad (exc Hume) the team playing well in the last couple of games and a good crowd getting behind them l can see it being a comfortable victory.

S.M. · Mar 27, 2009

9 times out of 10

our players freeze in front of a big crowd. Lost count of the number of times there's been a big 'get behind us' push on the Official site from players and management only for us to cough on match day.

Then its Swansea and Wolves as our remaining home games. Dont want to be the prophet of doom, er, actually, yes I do......

Davey out.

D/T · Mar 27, 2009

so what would be your first choice XI for the forest game and what do you reckon Billy Davies woud play? Given that he has around 9 Loaness. Also, do you not feel that compared to last season the squad is more equiped to deal with the pressures involved? Moore, Macken, Foster,Kozzie are all expirenced pros. and Misfud liks a big occasion.

Guest · Mar 27, 2009

My worry is if Simon decides that the Forest match is one 'not to loose'. 

1-0 Forest, Earnshaw 68 mins.

Hicksy · Mar 27, 2009

I thought we were more equiped to deal with the pressures involved

And then we went and lost to ******* Blackpool.

D/T · Mar 27, 2009

Ernshaw wont get a game.

paul.d · Mar 27, 2009

a detailed analysis...............................

I have calculated the 6 7 or 8 game sequences depending on games left-the current sequence is the most relevant since it's impossible to suddenly increase the sequence massively-it can only improve by a max of 3 each game

I have highlighted in red the relegation teams and in blue the promotion teams-personally I'd rather be playing teams who are as twitchy as us than a relaxed team with no worries either way

even if we equal our worst 8 game sequence we will have 49 points which I am fairly confident will keep us up



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20px"><td style="height: 20px">H</td><td>D</td><td>1</td><td>8</td><td>H</td><td>L</td><td>0</td><td>6</td><td>A</td><td>L</td><td>0</td><td>2</td><td>A</td><td>L</td><td>0</td><td>10</td><td>A</td><td>L</td><td>0</td><td>6</td></tr><tr style="height: 20px"><td style="height: 20px">H</td><td>W</td><td>3</td><td>8</td><td>A</td><td>L</td><td>0</td><td>6</td><td>H</td><td>L</td><td>0</td><td>2</td><td>A</td><td>L</td><td>0</td><td>7</td><td>H</td><td>W</td><td>3</td><td>8</td></tr><tr style="height: 20px"><td style="height: 20px">A</td><td>L</td><td>0</td><td>7</td><td>H</td><td>D</td><td>1</td><td>4</td><td>H</td><td>D</td><td>1</td><td>3</td><td>H</td><td>L</td><td>0</td><td>4</td><td>H</td><td>W</td><td>3</td><td>8</td></tr><tr style="height: 20px"><td style="height: 20px">H</td><td>D</td><td>1</td><td>8</td><td>H</td><td>L</td><td>0</td><td>3</td><td>A</td><td>W</td><td>3</td><td>5</td><td>A</td><td>W</td><td>3</td><td>4</td><td>A</td><td>W</td><td>3</td><td>11</td></tr><tr style="height: 20px"><td style="height: 20px">H</td><td>L</td><td>0</td><td>8</td><td>A</td><td>W</td><td>3</td><td>5</td><td>H</td><td>W</td><td>3</td><td>7</td><td>H</td><td>W</td><td>3</td><td>7</td><td>A</td><td>L</td><td>0</td><td>10</td></tr><tr style="height: 20px"><td style="height: 20px">H</td><td>W</td><td>3</td><td>11</td><td>A</td><td>L</td><td>0</td><td>4</td><td>H</td><td>D</td><td>1</td><td>8</td><td>H</td><td>D</td><td>1</td><td>7</td><td>H</td><td>D</td><td>1</td><td>10</td></tr><tr style="height: 21px"><td style="height: 21px">A</td><td>D</td><td>1</td><td>12</td><td>H</td><td>W</td><td>3</td><td>7</td><td>A</td><td>L</td><td>0</td><td>8</td><td>A</td><td>L</td><td>0</td><td>7</td><td>H</td><td>D</td><td>1</td><td>11</td></tr><tr style="height: 21px"><td style="height: 21px">H</td><td>Forest</td><td></td><td></td><td>H</td><td>W</td><td>3</td><td>10</td><td>A</td><td>L</td><td>0</td><td>8</td><td>A</td><td>L</td><td>0</td><td>7</td><td>A</td><td>D</td><td>1</td><td>12</td></tr><tr style="height: 21px"><td style="height: 21px">A</td><td>Sheff U</td><td></td><td></td><td>A</td><td>D</td><td>1</td><td>10</td><td>H</td><td>L</td><td>0</td><td>7</td><td>H</td><td>L</td><td>0</td><td>7</td><td>H</td><td>Charlton</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr style="height: 20px"><td style="height: 20px">A</td><td>Watford</td><td></td><td></td><td>H</td><td>Sheff W</td><td></td><td></td><td>A</td><td>Blackpool</td><td></td><td></td><td>A</td><td>Barnsley</td><td></td><td></td><td>A</td><td>Watford</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr style="height: 20px"><td style="height: 20px">H</td><td>Swansea</td><td></td><td></td><td>A</td><td>Swansea</td><td></td><td></td><td>H</td><td>Coventry</td><td></td><td></td><td>H</td><td>Bristol C</td><td></td><td></td><td>A</td><td>Wolves</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr style="height: 20px"><td style="height: 20px">A</td><td>Reading</td><td></td><td></td><td>H</td><td>Watford</td><td></td><td></td><td>A</td><td>Birmingham</td><td></td><td></td><td>A</td><td>Sheff U</td><td></td><td></td><td>H</td><td>Palace</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr style="height: 20px"><td style="height: 20px">A</td><td>Coventry</td><td></td><td></td><td>A</td><td>Ipswich</td><td></td><td></td><td>H</td><td>Doncaster</td><td></td><td></td><td>H</td><td>Coventry</td><td></td><td></td><td>A</td><td>Sheff W</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr style="height: 20px"><td style="height: 20px">H</td><td>Wolves</td><td></td><td></td><td>H</td><td>Reading</td><td></td><td></td><td>A</td><td>QPR</td><td></td><td></td><td>A</td><td>Blackpool</td><td></td><td></td><td>H</td><td>Burnley</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr style="height: 21px"><td style="height: 21px">A</td><td>Plymouth</td><td></td><td></td><td>A</td><td>Charlton</td><td></td><td></td><td>H</td><td>Barnsley</td><td></td><td></td><td>H</td><td>So'ton</td><td></td><td></td><td>A</td><td>Forest</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr style="height: 21px"><td style="height: 21px"></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr style="height: 20px"><td style="height: 20px"></td><td>CURRENT</td><td></td><td align="right">12</td><td></td><td>CURRENT</td><td></td><td align="right">10</td><td></td><td>CURRENT</td><td></td><td align="right">7</td><td></td><td>CURRENT</td><td></td><td align="right">7</td><td></td><td>CURRENT</td><td></td><td align="right">12</td></tr><tr style="height: 20px"><td style="height: 20px"></td><td>EIGHT</td><td></td><td align="right">44</td><td></td><td>SIX</td><td></td><td align="right">43</td><td></td><td>SIX</td><td></td><td align="right">43</td><td></td><td>SIX</td><td></td><td align="right">41</td><td></td><td>SEVEN</td><td></td><td align="right">40</td></tr><tr style="height: 21px"><td style="height: 21px"></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">56</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">53</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">50</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">48</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">52</td></tr><tr style="height: 20px"><td style="height: 20px"></td><td>AVE</td><td></td><td align="right">10</td><td></td><td>AVE</td><td></td><td align="right">6</td><td></td><td>AVE</td><td></td><td align="right">7</td><td></td><td>AVE</td><td></td><td align="right">6</td><td></td><td>AVE</td><td></td><td align="right">7</td></tr><tr style="height: 20px"><td style="height: 20px"></td><td>EIGHT</td><td></td><td align="right">44</td><td></td><td>SIX</td><td></td><td align="right">43</td><td></td><td>SIX</td><td></td><td align="right">43</td><td></td><td>SIX</td><td></td><td align="right">41</td><td></td><td>SEVEN</td><td></td><td align="right">40</td></tr><tr style="height: 21px"><td style="height: 21px"></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">54</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">49</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">50</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">47</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">47</td></tr><tr style="height: 20px"><td style="height: 20px"></td><td>BEST</td><td></td><td align="right">16</td><td></td><td>BEST SIX</td><td></td><td align="right">10</td><td></td><td>BEST SIX</td><td></td><td align="right">13</td><td></td><td>BEST SIX</td><td></td><td align="right">15</td><td></td><td>BEST</td><td></td><td align="right">12</td></tr><tr style="height: 20px"><td style="height: 20px"></td><td>EIGHT</td><td></td><td align="right">44</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">43</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">43</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">41</td><td></td><td>SEVEN</td><td></td><td align="right">40</td></tr><tr style="height: 21px"><td style="height: 21px"></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">60</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">53</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">56</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">56</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">52</td></tr><tr style="height: 20px"><td style="height: 20px"></td><td>WORST</td><td></td><td align="right">5</td><td></td><td>WORST</td><td></td><td align="right">3</td><td></td><td>WORST</td><td></td><td align="right">2</td><td></td><td>WORST</td><td></td><td align="right">1</td><td></td><td>WORST</td><td></td><td align="right">3</td></tr><tr style="height: 20px"><td style="height: 20px"></td><td>EIGHT</td><td></td><td align="right">44</td><td></td><td>SIX</td><td></td><td align="right">43</td><td></td><td>SIX</td><td></td><td align="right">43</td><td></td><td>SIX</td><td></td><td align="right">41</td><td></td><td>SEVEN</td><td></td><td align="right">40</td></tr><tr style="height: 21px"><td style="height: 21px"></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">49</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">46</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">45</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">42</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td align="right">43</td></tr><tr style="height: 21px"><td style="height: 21px"></td><td>BARNSLEY</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td>NORWICH</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td>PLYMOUTH</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td>FOREST</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td>SO'TON</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr style="height: 20px"><td style="height: 20px"></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr></tbody></table>

S.M. · Mar 27, 2009

I'd go with

Muller
Hassell
Foster
Moore
Kozluk
JCR
De Silva
Andranik
Hammill
Bogo
Mifsud

Colace to come on if we're in a position to defend a lead.

On paper, Forest have a decent squad, very capable up front, their form seems erratic, but if they've done their home work, they'll know to stop JCR and De Silva and we'll struggle.

2 nil Forest.

D/T · Mar 27, 2009

Now a forest line up. Given that barmy billy has got 7 on loan since January and you can only play five? in one game.

The Albatross · Mar 27, 2009

Davey out - then we wouldn't have to do this every season nt

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