US Election

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board' started by dreamboy3000, Oct 26, 2020.

  1. Andy Mac

    Andy Mac Well-Known Member

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    A US election might be important for some but FFS, coverage should not include sacrificing Bargain Hunt
     
  2. man

    mansfield_red Well-Known Member

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    The late counts will generally be Biden favourable and he has a few routes to victory. He's all but won Wisconsin and looks likely to win Nevada and Michigan. If he wins those then it doesn't matter about Pennsylvania and Georgia.
     
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  3. Plankton Pete

    Plankton Pete Well-Known Member

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    Michigan is key, but he's behind after 90% of votes counted albeit by 0.3%
     
  4. Merde Tete

    Merde Tete Well-Known Member

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    From what I understand, the urban areas and the postal votes will be the last ones to be counted, and they are likely to lean heavily towards Biden.
     
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  5. Loko the Tyke

    Loko the Tyke Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    There's various reports, although the numbers are being challenged, that IF the remaining PA votes to count split like the counted ones have, that PA goes blue. Ever, ever so slightly.

    Wisconsin is currently blue with 5% to count. Georgia and NC likely to go red. Leaving Michigan as a complete toss up from what I've seen and the gap in Nevada closing the more they count (but likely to be blue).

    Basically everything could be on PA.
     
  6. Merde Tete

    Merde Tete Well-Known Member

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    If my maths are correct, then if Wisconsin and Nevada both go to Biden, he only needs one of Pennsylvania and Michigan. Looking at the current trend, Biden will take Michigan by a whisker, which would be game over no matter what happens in PA. However, Nevada have said that they won't declare until tomorrow morning, which is more like lunchtime in Europe.
     
    Last edited: Nov 4, 2020
  7. Loko the Tyke

    Loko the Tyke Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    Biden now 80% favourite in the US spread betting to support that.
     
  8. man

    mansfield_red Well-Known Member

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    Of course if/when Biden wins we will have to deal with all the fraud crap Trump is going to throw.
     
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  9. Mid

    Mido Well-Known Member

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    If he wins Nevada, Winconsin and Michigan he ends up on 270 I believe. Trump will never let it go if it ends on such a small margin.
     
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  10. TonyTyke

    TonyTyke Well-Known Member

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  11. Tykeored

    Tykeored Well-Known Member

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    It was on BBC 2 and the reds lost again!
     
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  12. pon

    pontyender Well-Known Member

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    I'll feel happier the sooner Biden gets his nose in front in one more state.
     
  13. Tykeored

    Tykeored Well-Known Member

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    US election seems to be a race to the bottom. Usually you would expect an incumbent President to win comfortably. However Trumps’s reign as been such that had the Democrats fielded a half decent candidate then they would already have it in the bag.
    Enter Joe Biden......
     
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  14. pon

    pontyender Well-Known Member

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    The votes they are counting now are mainly postal votes, which tend to favour the Democrats. It's turned Wisconsin on its head and significantly narrowed the gap in Michigan since I last looked.
     
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  15. BarnsleyReds

    BarnsleyReds Well-Known Member

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    IF you look at the areas left to count in Georgia, that could well still be very close.
     
  16. dreamboy3000

    dreamboy3000 Well-Known Member

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    Tucker Carlson hits the nail on the head. Trump is loud and brash but his voters tend to be quiet and shy. It's supposedly the land of the free but for some reason Trump fans don't feel they can admit it so stay quiet and then polls give the wrong impression. We had it over here with Brexit and our own election. USA got it wrong last time and this time expected a Biden landslide.

     
  17. Jimmy viz

    Jimmy viz Well-Known Member

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    I think it was naive to expect any sort of landslide. Biden ran on not being Clinton or Trump with little positive to say. I thought Biden would win and still do but it will solve nothing just one neoliberal replacing another.
     
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  18. BarnsleyReds

    BarnsleyReds Well-Known Member

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    Trump is a Neo-Fascist, Biden is a Neo-Liberal.

    The Fascists needs taking out first, before the liberals can be tackled.
     
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  19. man

    mansfield_red Well-Known Member

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    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news...iden-who-won-presidential-republican-democrat looking at the counties in each state left to report, Nevada, Wisconsin and Michigan are all heading to Biden and that's enough.

    I'm tempted to put an irresponsible amount of money on Biden at this point at 4/11, as I just don't see how he loses even if you take it that Georgia (very likely) and Pennsylvania (less likely) are both red
     
  20. Marc

    Marc Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    whichever way you cut it, even if Biden does creep in, it's been a terrible performance. after the damage trump has done, the economic slide, covid, BLM, foreign policy, international treaties scrapped, increase in college voters, decrease in senior voters. and they're still towing like f.cuk. had covid not happened, trump would have probably walked it.
     
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